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Does Danticat win the National Book Award on November 18?

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The story

Edwidge Danticat, the Haitian writer who lives in Miami, could finally win the National Book Award: she is a Fiction finalist for the third time and has never taken it home.

Her novel «Dèy» follows Magnolia, a Haitian real estate agent in Miami who cannot bring herself to tell her family the truth; the National Book Foundation calls it «a meditation on mourning, immigration, gentrification, and diasporic identity». She is up against Valeria Luiselli, Hannah Lillith Assadi, Julián Delgado Lopera and Morgan Thomas. The winner is announced November 18 in New York.

Sources National Book FoundationNPR (vía WLRN)

YES if Edwidge Danticat wins the 2026 National Book Award for Fiction for «Dèy» at the ceremony on Wednesday, November 18, 2026 in New York, per the National Book Foundation (official list published by November 19 at 11:59 p.m., Miami time). NO if another Fiction finalist wins, or if no winner is announced that night.

580 points 16 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 8 d 14 h

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@CasinoMarianaoPicked YES

esa mujer lleva años haciendo ruido con la pluma y el jurado lo sabe, yo voy con el si aunque la competencia ta dura. esto tiene sabor a que se lo lleva 💯

0
@yuni_biciPicked NO

yo le puse al no porque esa liga de premios siempre sorprende en el ultimo minuto y los jurados se van por otra novela q nadie tiene en la mira, asere. ojala me equivoque pero el no ta en talla 🔥

0
@Rosario_Luz72Picked YES

Hija, esa señora escribe con el alma y ya tiene su nombre hecho, así que yo le puse al SÍ con confianza. Con la ayuda de Dios se lleva ese premio y lo celebramos aqui en la cuadra.

0
?
48% Yes 52% No

Chart

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83% · Nov 9, 2:35 AM 90% · Nov 9, 2:36 AM 64% · Nov 9, 2:37 AM 60% · Nov 9, 2:38 AM 45% · Nov 9, 2:39 AM 45% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 50% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 54% · Nov 9, 2:42 AM 59% · Nov 9, 2:43 AM 53% · Nov 9, 2:45 AM 47% · Nov 9, 2:48 AM 47% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 51% · Nov 9, 2:52 AM 50% · Nov 9, 2:55 AM 46% · Nov 9, 2:58 AM 46% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 52% · Nov 9, 3:02 AM 56% · Nov 9, 3:07 AM 54% · Nov 9, 3:08 AM 54% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM 50% · Nov 9, 3:17 AM 50% · Nov 9, 3:21 AM 48% · Nov 9, 3:24 AM

YES 48%

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How the pot stands

YES 48% 52% NO
Pays x2.07 Pays x1.93
280 points300 points
Pot %

Context

Edwidge Danticat figura como finalista del National Book Award de Ficción 2026 por «Dèy», y la pregunta se resuelve según si gana en la ceremonia del miércoles 18 de noviembre de 2026 en Nueva York. El resultado se verifica con la lista oficial de la National Book Foundation publicada el 19 de noviembre a las 11:59 p. m., hora de Miami. Hasta ahora no hay titulares que reporten un ganador, y la pregunta tampoco se decide si el premio recae en otro finalista o si no se anuncia ganador esa noche. En La Ponina la predicción está repartida en 380 puntos, con SÍ al 50% y NO al 50%.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 2:57 AM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. NovelaYCafe put 10 points on NO 1 min ago
  2. Chichiribiri put 10 points on NO 2 min ago
  3. 0x6153e1a put 40 points on NO 7 min ago
  4. yuni_bici put 20 points on NO 15 min ago
  5. MANI_CALIENTE put 40 points on YES 17 min ago
  6. 65portal put 50 points on YES 22 min ago
  7. Mami_Yaque_Tampa put 30 points on NO 25 min ago
  8. kike_rimas4 put 10 points on NO 29 min ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

YES if Edwidge Danticat wins the 2026 National Book Award for Fiction for «Dèy» at the ceremony on Wednesday, November 18, 2026 in New York, per the National Book Foundation (official list published by November 19 at 11:59 p.m., Miami time). NO if another Fiction finalist wins, or if no winner is announced that night. Closes Nov 17, 6:00 PM.
Question
Does Danticat win the National Book Award on November 18?
How it resolves
YES if Edwidge Danticat wins the 2026 National Book Award for Fiction for «Dèy» at the ceremony on Wednesday, November 18, 2026 in New York, per the National Book Foundation (official list published by November 19 at 11:59 p.m., Miami time). NO if another Fiction finalist wins, or if no winner is announced that night.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
National Book Foundation, finalistas 2026 (https://www.nationalbook.org/2026-national-book-award-finalists-announced/); confirmation: NPR, finalistas del National Book Award 2026 (https://www.wlrn.org/npr-breaking-news/2026-10-06/here-are-the-finalists-for-the-2026-national-book-awards)Both sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Nov 17, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 48% of the points are on YES and 52% on NO.

How many people have put points?

16 people have put 580 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 3 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Nov 17, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if Edwidge Danticat wins the 2026 National Book Award for Fiction for «Dèy» at the ceremony on Wednesday, November 18, 2026 in New York, per the National Book Foundation (official list published by November 19 at 11:59 p.m., Miami time). NO if another Fiction finalist wins, or if no winner is announced that night. Closes Nov 17, 6:00 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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