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Will Cuba have more than one legal political party before June 2027?
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the law in force in Cuba allows more than one political party, or a second party is legally recognized, published in the Gaceta Oficial or confirmed by AP. Any government in power counts. NO if that date arrives without it. Promises, bills not passed and parties in exile do not count.
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YES 50% 50% NO
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It's how much money is on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their money.
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Market rules
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the law in force in Cuba allows more than one political party, or a second party is legally recognized, published in the Gaceta Oficial or confirmed by AP. Any government in power counts. NO if that date arrives without it. Promises, bills not passed and parties in exile do not count. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
- Question
- Will Cuba have more than one legal political party before June 2027?
- How it resolves
- YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the law in force in Cuba allows more than one political party, or a second party is legally recognized, published in the Gaceta Oficial or confirmed by AP. Any government in power counts. NO if that date arrives without it. Promises, bills not passed and parties in exile do not count.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
- Sources
- Gaceta Oficial de la República de Cuba; confirmation: Associated PressBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
- Close
- May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
- Options
- YES / NO
- If known early
- If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
- If postponed
- If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
- If canceled
- If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
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