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Will the Cuban film «Malecón» make the Oscar shortlist for Best International Feature?

Yes 50% No 50%

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The story

Cuba eligió «Malecón», del español Carlos Larrazábal, como su candidata al Óscar a Mejor Película Internacional, según The Hollywood Reporter y CiberCuba.

Es una coproducción de Cuba, España y Estados Unidos, según Cubanet, y OnCubaNews dice que llega «entre elogios y controversias». Falta ver si entra en la lista corta de la Academia antes de 2027.

Sources The Hollywood ReporterCiberCubaCubanet

YES if before January 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the Academy publishes on oscars.org the 2027 Oscars Best International Feature shortlist and «Malecón», Cuba's submission, is on it. NO if it is not on it, or if January 1, 2027 arrives with no shortlist published.

4,400 points 43 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 53 d 7 h

Why it matters

Who
Óscar · Mejor Película Internacional
What
Cuba eligió «Malecón», del español Carlos Larrazábal, como su candidata al Óscar a Mejor Película Internacional, según The Hollywood Reporter y CiberCuba.
When
Se decide antes del 31 de diciembre (hora de Miami).
How it is decided
SÍ si antes del 1 de enero de 2027 (hora de Cuba) la Academia de Hollywood publica en oscars.org la lista corta (shortlist) de Mejor Película Internacional de los Óscar…
Why you should care
«Malecón» es la candidata de Cuba al Óscar, entre elogios y controversias: ¿entra a la lista corta antes de 2027?

Say yours: why YES or why NO?

Comments 25

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50% Yes 50% No

Chart

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YES 50%

How the pot stands

YES 50% 50% NO
Pays x2.00 Pays x1.99
2,190 points2,210 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si la película cubana «Malecón», candidata de Cuba, aparecerá en la lista corta de Mejor Película Internacional de los Óscar 2027 que publica la Academia de Hollywood en oscars.org. La condición se cumple solo si esa lista se publica antes del 1 de enero de 2027 y la cinta está incluida; de lo contrario, o si la fecha llega sin lista publicada, la respuesta es no. En La Ponina se han puesto 4100 puntos en esta predicción, repartidos en 47% para el SÍ y 53% para el NO. No se ofrecen titulares adicionales que aporten otros datos sobre el caso.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:34 PM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. TaxiStats2 put 50 points on YES 2 min ago
  2. TaxiStats2 put 30 points on YES 9 min ago
  3. kike_rimas4 put 40 points on YES 9 min ago
  4. YaimaNails put 10 points on YES 9 min ago
  5. kike_rimas4 put 10 points on YES 50 min ago
  6. TaxiStats2 put 50 points on YES 51 min ago
  7. changuisero put 50 points on NO 51 min ago
  8. lazaro1717 put 10 points on YES 51 min ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

 YES if before January 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the Academy publishes on oscars.org the 2027 Oscars Best International Feature shortlist and «Malecón», Cuba's submission, is on it. NO if it is not on it, or if January 1, 2027 arrives with no shortlist published. Closes Dec 31, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will the Cuban film «Malecón» make the Oscar shortlist for Best International Feature?
How it resolves
YES if before January 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the Academy publishes on oscars.org the 2027 Oscars Best International Feature shortlist and «Malecón», Cuba's submission, is on it. NO if it is not on it, or if January 1, 2027 arrives with no shortlist published.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
oscars.org (lista corta oficial); confirmation: The Hollywood Reporter / OnCubaNewsBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Dec 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 50% of the points are on YES and 50% on NO.

How many people have put points?

43 people have put 4,400 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 25 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Dec 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if before January 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the Academy publishes on oscars.org the 2027 Oscars Best International Feature shortlist and «Malecón», Cuba's submission, is on it. NO if it is not on it, or if January 1, 2027 arrives with no shortlist published. Closes Dec 31, 11:59 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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