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Closes in 53 d 9 h

Data from Polymarket

YES 4.2%

Polymarket data

  • Open interest $655 on Polymarket
  • Liquidity $36,772 on Polymarket

Volume over time on Polymarket

What does La Ponina say?

0 poninos made a call · Free points only, no money.

Log in to say what you think

  1. On Polymarket: $0.30 on YESYES now at 4%
  2. On Polymarket: $1.95 on NOYES now at 1%
  3. On Polymarket: $10 on YESYES now at 5%
  4. On Polymarket: $0.13 on NOYES now at 1%
  5. On Polymarket: $7.48 on YESYES now at 1%
  6. On Polymarket: $99.13 on NOYES now at 2%
  7. On Polymarket: $0.55 on NOYES now at 4%
  8. On Polymarket: $10.58 on NOYES now at 4%
  9. On Polymarket: $9.48 on NOYES now at 5%
  10. On Polymarket: $0.33 on NOYES now at 3%
  11. On Polymarket: $1 on YESYES now at 6%
  12. On Polymarket: $1 on YESYES now at 8%
  13. On Polymarket: $56.80 on YESYES now at 10%
  14. On Polymarket: $56.80 on YESYES now at 10%
  15. On Polymarket: $59.58 on YESYES now at 10%
  16. On Polymarket: $59.58 on YESYES now at 10%
  17. On Polymarket: $61.24 on YESYES now at 10%
  18. On Polymarket: $61.24 on YESYES now at 10%
  19. On Polymarket: $63.45 on YESYES now at 10%
  20. On Polymarket: $63.45 on YESYES now at 10%

Esta pregunta se resolverá como «Sí» si Miguel Díaz-Canel queda bajo custodia del gobierno de EE. UU. en cualquier momento antes de diciembre [número] PM ET. De lo contrario, esta pregunta se resolverá como «No». Se considerará que Miguel Díaz-Canel está bajo custodia del gobierno de EE. UU. si personal del gobierno de EE. UU. (incluidos militares, la CIA, personal de otra agencia o contratistas que actúen bajo autoridad directa del gobierno de EE. UU.) detiene físicamente, arresta, captura o de otro modo asume el control custodial físico de Miguel Díaz-Canel, independientemente del lugar o la duración. Las visitas, interacciones con personal del gobierno de EE. UU. o la presencia de Miguel Díaz-Canel en espacios de EE. UU. (incluidos buques, bases, instalaciones o reuniones) de manera voluntaria y sin estar detenido no calificarán. Sin embargo, una rendición voluntaria ante personal de EE. UU. en la que Miguel Díaz-Canel se someta a la custodia de EE. UU. sí calificará. La custodia llevada a cabo por entidades que no sean de EE. UU. (incluidas fuerzas aliadas o asociadas) no calificará a menos que personal de EE. UU. esté físicamente presente y asuma él mismo el control custodial de Miguel Díaz-Canel, o a menos que ocurra una transferencia posterior a la custodia de EE. UU. ...

Original Polymarket text (in English)

This question will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this question will resolve to “No”.

Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.

Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.

Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs. …

Timeline

  1. Closes