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¿Se reunirán oficialmente EE. UU. y Cuba antes de que termine noviembre?

Closes in 22 d 9 h

Data from Polymarket

YES 40.5%

Polymarket data

  • Open interest $218 on Polymarket
  • Liquidity $87.70 on Polymarket

Volume over time on Polymarket

What does La Ponina say?

0 poninos made a call · Free points only, no money.

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  1. On Polymarket: $8.20 on NOYES now at 59%
  2. On Polymarket: $1 on NOYES now at 23%
  3. On Polymarket: $79.79 on YESYES now at 79%
  4. On Polymarket: $4.67 on YESYES now at 79%
  5. On Polymarket: $3.51 on YESYES now at 79%
  6. On Polymarket: $122 on YESYES now at 79%
  7. On Polymarket: $1.12 on YESYES now at 21%
  8. On Polymarket: $3.60 on YESYES now at 18%
  9. On Polymarket: $3.20 on YESYES now at 16%
  10. On Polymarket: $6.06 on YESYES now at 18%
  11. On Polymarket: $9.18 on YESYES now at 17%
  12. On Polymarket: $26.76 on YESYES now at 21%
  13. On Polymarket: $15.80 on YESYES now at 21%
  14. On Polymarket: $2.80 on NOYES now at 14%
  15. On Polymarket: $6.20 on YESYES now at 31%
  16. On Polymarket: $14.40 on NOYES now at 28%
  17. On Polymarket: $9.20 on NOYES now at 54%
  18. On Polymarket: $9.80 on NOYES now at 51%
  19. On Polymarket: $16.20 on NOYES now at 19%
  20. On Polymarket: $3.95 on NOYES now at 21%

Esta pregunta se resolverá como «Sí» si hay una reunión diplomática entre representantes de Estados Unidos y Cuba entre la creación de la pregunta y la fecha indicada, 11:59 PM ET. De lo contrario, esta pregunta se resolverá como «No». Una reunión diplomática se refiere a una reunión deliberada entre representantes de los países indicados que actúan en calidad oficial y están autorizados a participar en negociaciones o diplomacia respecto a las relaciones entre Estados Unidos y Cuba en nombre de sus gobiernos. Las reuniones realizadas de forma indirecta, por ejemplo, mediante mediadores designados, facilitadores o interlocutores que actúen con el conocimiento y la autorización de los gobiernos correspondientes, calificarán. Los saludos breves, los encuentros fortuitos o las conversaciones que de otro modo no estén dirigidas deliberadamente a la diplomacia o la negociación no contarán. La reunión debe ser en persona y debe ser reconocida públicamente por cualquiera de los gobiernos o reportada por un consenso de medios creíbles. Las reuniones remotas, las llamadas telefónicas u otras reuniones en las que las partes relevantes no estén presentes no contarán. Las fuentes de resolución para esta pregunta serán información oficial de los gobiernos de Estados Unidos y Cuba, y un consenso de reportes creíbles.

Original Polymarket text (in English)

This question will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between question creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this question will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

The resolution sources for this question will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Timeline

  1. Closes