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Closes in 53 d 7 h

Data from Polymarket

YES 94.4%

  • Nicolás MaduroMoved $4M on Polymarket 94% ▲3
  • Delcy RodríguezMoved $2.6M on Polymarket 6% ▼2
  • No Head of StateMoved $1.7M on Polymarket <1%
  • Edmundo GonzálezMoved $1.5M on Polymarket <1%
  • María Corina MachadoMoved $1.7M on Polymarket <1%
  • Marco RubioMoved $1.6M on Polymarket <1%
  • Jorge RodríguezMoved $1.3M on Polymarket <1%
  • Pete HegsethMoved $9.4M on Polymarket <1%
See all (16)
  • Diosdado Cabello RondónMoved $2.2M on Polymarket <1%
  • Dinorah FigueraMoved $3.1M on Polymarket <1%
  • Donald TrumpMoved $1.2M on Polymarket <1%
  • Vladimir Padrino LópezMoved $891K on Polymarket <1%
  • Evan PettusMoved $5.7M on Polymarket <1%
  • Frank DonovanMoved $26M on Polymarket <1%
  • Dan CaineMoved $4.2M on Polymarket <1%
  • Richard GrenellMoved $32.8M on Polymarket <1%
Nicolás Maduro 94%Delcy Rodríguez 6%No Head of State <1%Edmundo González <1%

Nicolás Maduro 94%, Delcy Rodríguez 6%, No Head of State <1%, Edmundo González <1%

Moved $99.9M on Polymarket Closes Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket data

  • Open interest $593,795 on Polymarket
  • Liquidity $110,280 on Polymarket

Volume over time on Polymarket

What does La Ponina say?

0 poninos made a call · Free points only, no money.

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  1. On Polymarket: $4.89 on NOYES now at 94%
  2. On Polymarket: $2.95 on YESYES now at 94%
  3. On Polymarket: $1.68 on YESYES now at 95%
  4. On Polymarket: $31.41 on YESYES now at 95%
  5. On Polymarket: $1.19 on YESYES now at 95%
  6. On Polymarket: $1.39 on YESYES now at 95%
  7. On Polymarket: $1.18 on YESYES now at 95%
  8. On Polymarket: $1.32 on YESYES now at 95%
  9. On Polymarket: $1,977 on YESYES now at 95%
  10. On Polymarket: $11.89 on YESYES now at 95%
  11. On Polymarket: $200 on YESYES now at 95%
  12. On Polymarket: $1.59 on YESYES now at 95%
  13. On Polymarket: $100 on YESYES now at 94%
  14. On Polymarket: $0.64 on YESYES now at 94%
  15. On Polymarket: $6.20 on YESYES now at 94%
  16. On Polymarket: $2.56 on YESYES now at 94%
  17. On Polymarket: $299 on YESYES now at 95%
  18. On Polymarket: $1.77 on YESYES now at 94%
  19. On Polymarket: $6.30 on YESYES now at 94%
  20. On Polymarket: $4.35 on YESYES now at 94%

Esta pregunta se resolverá a favor del individuo que oficialmente ocupe el cargo de jefe de Estado de Venezuela el [número] de diciembre a las [número] PM ET. Para los fines de esta pregunta, "oficialmente ocupe" se refiere al individuo que fue formalmente designado, confirmado (si se requiere confirmación) y juramentado como jefe de Estado de Venezuela o que de otra manera haya sido confirmado por información oficial del gobierno como el jefe de Estado de Venezuela. Si el gobierno venezolano no declara claramente quién es el jefe de Estado, la pregunta se resolverá a favor del individuo que figure como Jefe de Estado por la ONU (ver: En el caso de que el gobierno venezolano enumere a más de un jefe de Estado oficial, esta pregunta se resolverá a favor del individuo que figure con estatus primario. Si no se hace distinción, la pregunta se resolverá a favor del individuo que primero asumió el cargo. Si ningún individuo ocupa el cargo, esta pregunta se resolverá como "Sin jefe de Estado". ...

Only one option can end on YES

Original Polymarket text (in English)

This question will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

For the purposes of this question, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.

If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the question will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see:

In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this question will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the question will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.

If no individual holds the position this question will resolve to “No Head of State”. …

Timeline

  1. Closes