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¿Será el papa León XIV la Persona del Año de la revista TIME?

Closes in 52 d 3 h

Data from Polymarket

YES 11%

Polymarket data

  • Open interest $21,285 on Polymarket
  • Liquidity $43,408 on Polymarket

Volume over time on Polymarket

What does La Ponina say?

0 poninos made a call · Free points only, no money.

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  1. On Polymarket: $15 on YESYES now at 12%
  2. On Polymarket: $0.29 on YESYES now at 12%
  3. On Polymarket: $1.82 on YESYES now at 12%
  4. On Polymarket: $0.05 on YESYES now at 12%
  5. On Polymarket: $0.12 on YESYES now at 12%
  6. On Polymarket: $27 on NOYES now at 10%
  7. On Polymarket: $1 on YESYES now at 12%
  8. On Polymarket: $8 on YESYES now at 12%
  9. On Polymarket: $5 on NOYES now at 10%
  10. On Polymarket: $31.15 on NOYES now at 10%
  11. On Polymarket: $1 on NOYES now at 10%
  12. On Polymarket: $2 on NOYES now at 10%
  13. On Polymarket: $59.52 on YESYES now at 11%
  14. On Polymarket: $0.46 on NOYES now at 11%
  15. On Polymarket: $50 on YESYES now at 12%
  16. On Polymarket: $1.32 on YESYES now at 12%
  17. On Polymarket: $3.84 on YESYES now at 12%
  18. On Polymarket: $4.08 on YESYES now at 12%
  19. On Polymarket: $2.28 on YESYES now at 12%
  20. On Polymarket: $4.20 on YESYES now at 12%

Esta pregunta se resolverá a “Sí” si la persona, grupo, entidad o cosa listada es la Persona del Año de TIME para 2026. De lo contrario, esta pregunta se resolverá a “No”. Una opción listada se considerará Persona del Año de TIME si se le nombra explícitamente como Persona del Año. Además, aplican las siguientes reglas: Si varias personas son nombradas explícitamente persona del año, ambas personas se considerarán Persona del Año de TIME. Si la Persona del Año de TIME es un concepto, grupo o cosa, una persona aún puede ser considerada Persona del Año si también se le nombra explícitamente persona del año, o si está directamente asociada con el concepto, grupo o cosa nombrada como persona del Año y aparece en cualquier portada oficial de TIME que anuncie la Persona del Año. Por ejemplo, en 2025, cuando la Persona del Año de TIME fue “Architects of AI”, la opción para Sam Altman se habría resuelto a “Sí”, ya que estaba asociado con el concepto y aparece en la Portada. Sin embargo, si Sam Altman fuera la Persona del Año y ChatGPT apareciera en la portada, esto no calificaría para ChatGPT porque ChatGPT no es una persona. ...

Original Polymarket text (in English)

This question will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this question will resolve to “No”.

A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.

Additionally, the following rules apply:

If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.

If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. …

Timeline

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