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¿Firmarán las Grandes Ligas y el sindicato de peloteros un nuevo convenio colectivo antes del 2 de diciembre?

Closes in 23 d 9 h

Data from Kalshi

YES 4.5%

Kalshi data

  • Open interest $35,622 on Kalshi

Volume over time on Kalshi

What does La Ponina say?

0 poninos made a call · Free points only, no money.

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  1. On Kalshi: $0.40 on YESYES now at 4%
  2. On Kalshi: $1.12 on YESYES now at 4%
  3. On Kalshi: $1.94 on YESYES now at 5%
  4. On Kalshi: $0.40 on YESYES now at 4%
  5. On Kalshi: $1.12 on YESYES now at 4%
  6. On Kalshi: $1.12 on YESYES now at 4%
  7. On Kalshi: $2.04 on YESYES now at 5%
  8. On Kalshi: $0.13 on YESYES now at 4%
  9. On Kalshi: $11.21 on NOYES now at 4%
  10. On Kalshi: $3.14 on NOYES now at 4%
  11. On Kalshi: $39.28 on NOYES now at 4%
  12. On Kalshi: $6.36 on NOYES now at 4%
  13. On Kalshi: $355 on NOYES now at 4%
  14. On Kalshi: $2.31 on NOYES now at 4%
  15. On Kalshi: $8.18 on NOYES now at 4%
  16. On Kalshi: $0.09 on NOYES now at 4%
  17. On Kalshi: $0.09 on NOYES now at 4%
  18. On Kalshi: $2.44 on NOYES now at 4%
  19. On Kalshi: $492 on NOYES now at 4%
  20. On Kalshi: $2.29 on NOYES now at 4%

Si la MLBPA y la MLB acuerdan cualquier nuevo CBA (Convenio Colectivo de Trabajo) después del 8 de julio de 2026 y antes del 2 de diciembre de 2026, entonces esta pregunta se resuelve como Sí.

Original Kalshi text (in English)

If the MLBPA and MLB agree to any new CBA (Collective Bargaining Agreement) after Jul 8, 2026 and before Dec 2, 2026, then the question resolves to Yes.

A public announcement of a reached agreement or agreement in principle is sufficient to satisfy the Payout Criterion, unless otherwise specified. Formal execution or ratification is not required if such an announcement occurs within the specified time period. Likewise, if a formal execution of the agreement or a formal ratification by the relevant players' association membership occurs within the specified time period, the question will resolve Yes regardless of whether a public announcement was made before, at the same time as, or after such execution or ratification. Subsequent modifications, amendments, implementation details, or delays do not affect the resolution once a qualifying agreement, execution, or ratification has occurred.

Sources Kalshi uses

  • the New York Times
  • The Athletic
  • Sports Business Journal
  • The Wall Street Journal
  • ESPN
  • The Washington Post
  • the Governing League
  • Bloomberg News
  • Reuters
  • Sportico
  • press releases
Who may not take part
  • Atletas, entrenadores y personal actuales de la liga, asociación u organización(es) que rigen el evento. Para ligas/asociaciones universitarias específicamente, o donde sea apropiado de otro modo (según lo identifique el Exchange), esto aplica a atletas/entrenadores/personal actuales del deporte específico en <event> en lugar de la liga/asociación en su conjunto (por ejemplo, si el Equipo de Baloncesto Masculino de Gonzaga de la División I es p...
  • Empleados remunerados de la liga y participantes de la liga
  • Propietarios de equipos y de la liga
  • y miembros del hogar y familia inmediata de todos los anteriores
  • Las personas que estén empleadas por cualquiera de las Agencias Fuente no tienen permitido negociar con el Contrato.
  • Las personas que posean cualquier información material no pública sobre el Subyacente no tienen permitido negociar con el Contrato.

Timeline

  1. Opens
  2. Closes
  3. Estimated payout 5 min after closing
  4. Deadline