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Closes in 53 d 9 h

Data from Polymarket

YES 3.7%

Polymarket data

  • Open interest $113,057 on Polymarket
  • Liquidity $64,747 on Polymarket

Volume over time on Polymarket

What does La Ponina say?

0 poninos made a call · Free points only, no money.

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  1. On Polymarket: $2.13 on YESYES now at 4%
  2. On Polymarket: $0.36 on NOYES now at 3%
  3. On Polymarket: $95.93 on YESYES now at 4%
  4. On Polymarket: $1.28 on YESYES now at 4%
  5. On Polymarket: $0.66 on YESYES now at 4%
  6. On Polymarket: $4.22 on YESYES now at 4%
  7. On Polymarket: $1 on YESYES now at 4%
  8. On Polymarket: $74.06 on YESYES now at 4%
  9. On Polymarket: $110 on YESYES now at 3%
  10. On Polymarket: $76.24 on YESYES now at 3%
  11. On Polymarket: $46.63 on YESYES now at 2%
  12. On Polymarket: $3.35 on NOYES now at 2%
  13. On Polymarket: $96.50 on YESYES now at 4%
  14. On Polymarket: $96 on YESYES now at 4%
  15. On Polymarket: $2.81 on YESYES now at 5%
  16. On Polymarket: $33.96 on NOYES now at 4%
  17. On Polymarket: $1.42 on YESYES now at 5%
  18. On Polymarket: $58.60 on YESYES now at 5%
  19. On Polymarket: $10 on NOYES now at 4%
  20. On Polymarket: $10 on YESYES now at 5%

Esta pregunta se resolverá como «Sí» si el Partido Comunista de Cuba (PCC) deja de ejercer el control gubernamental de facto sobre Cuba antes de diciembre [número] PM ET. De lo contrario, esta pregunta se resolverá como «No». Una resolución «Sí» requiere una ruptura clara y ampliamente reportada del control histórico del PCC sobre el gobierno de Cuba. Esto puede incluir eventos como el derrocamiento o la disolución del PCC y su reemplazo por un nuevo gobierno o una autoridad de transición, la eliminación constitucional del estatus del PCC como único partido gobernante seguida de una transferencia del poder gubernamental a una entidad política diferente, o la celebración de elecciones nacionales multipartidistas que resulten en un gobierno no controlado por el PCC. Una resolución «Sí» no requiere la disolución formal del PCC, siempre que el PCC ya no ejerza el control gubernamental de facto sobre Cuba. Los cambios de liderazgo dentro del PCC, incluido el reemplazo del Primer Secretario, o las reformas gubernamentales que preserven el control gubernamental de facto del PCC sobre Cuba, no serán suficientes. ...

Original Polymarket text (in English)

This question will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this question will resolve to “No”.

A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the PCC’s historical control over the government of Cuba. This may include events such as the overthrow or dissolution of the PCC and its replacement by a new government or transitional authority, the constitutional removal of the PCC’s status as the sole ruling party followed by a transfer of governing power to a different political entity, or the holding of multi-party national elections that result in a government not controlled by the PCC. A “Yes” resolution does not require the formal dissolution of the PCC, provided the PCC no longer exercises de facto governing control over Cuba.

Leadership changes within the PCC, including replacement of the First Secretary, or governmental reforms that preserve the PCC’s de facto governing control over Cuba, will not suffice. …

Timeline

  1. Closes