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¿EE. UU. invadirá Cuba en 2026?

Closes in 53 d 9 h

Data from Polymarket

YES 2.3%

Polymarket data

  • Open interest $421,232 on Polymarket
  • Liquidity $106,407 on Polymarket

Volume over time on Polymarket

What does La Ponina say?

0 poninos made a call · Free points only, no money.

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  1. On Polymarket: $0.90 on NOYES now at 2%
  2. On Polymarket: $1 on YESYES now at 3%
  3. On Polymarket: $10 on NOYES now at 2%
  4. On Polymarket: $7.04 on YESYES now at 3%
  5. On Polymarket: $1 on NOYES now at 2%
  6. On Polymarket: $220 on NOYES now at 2%
  7. On Polymarket: $1 on NOYES now at 2%
  8. On Polymarket: $1 on YESYES now at 3%
  9. On Polymarket: $154 on NOYES now at 2%
  10. On Polymarket: $1,042 on NOYES now at 3%
  11. On Polymarket: $0.09 on NOYES now at 3%
  12. On Polymarket: $228 on YESYES now at 3%
  13. On Polymarket: $2.60 on NOYES now at 3%
  14. On Polymarket: $91.94 on NOYES now at 3%
  15. On Polymarket: $579 on NOYES now at 3%
  16. On Polymarket: $1.32 on YESYES now at 4%
  17. On Polymarket: $35.38 on YESYES now at 4%
  18. On Polymarket: $9.96 on NOYES now at 3%
  19. On Polymarket: $4.87 on YESYES now at 4%
  20. On Polymarket: $35.51 on NOYES now at 3%

Esta pregunta se resolverá como «Sí» si Estados Unidos inicia una ofensiva militar destinada a establecer control sobre cualquier porción del territorio terrestre cubano antes de diciembre [número] PM ET. De lo contrario, esta pregunta se resolverá como «No». Para los fines de esta pregunta, la tierra controlada de facto por Cuba o Estados Unidos al momento de la creación de la pregunta se considerará territorio soberano de ese país. La fuente de resolución para esta pregunta será un consenso de fuentes creíbles.

Original Polymarket text (in English)

This question will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this question will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this question, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as question creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this question will be a consensus of credible sources.

Timeline

  1. Closes