mira yo puse al no xq el q va a haiti de verdad no lo anuncia ni con bombo, y ese a lo q va es a la foto y alla no hay tarima segura, el mar no miente asere
Open
Does Nayib Bukele travel to Haiti before December 31?
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The story
Nayib Bukele, presidente de El Salvador.
Tropas salvadoreñas avanzan contra pandillas en Haití con el visto bueno de Trump, según NTN24 del 8 de noviembre. Ciudadanos haitianos se manifestaron en apoyo a Bukele. Se mide hasta el 30 de diciembre de 2026, hora de Miami. Se resuelve con la fuente pública indicada en la regla.
YES if between November 10 and December 30, 2026 Nayib Bukele sets foot in Haiti in person, according to El Salvador's government or top-tier press. NO if he does not travel to Haiti in that period. Resolves from El Salvador's government and top-tier press (Miami time).
Closes in 1 d 13 h
Say yours: why YES or why NO?
Comments 5
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ay no mi cielo yo no lo veo pisando haiti asi de facil, ese tipo le gusta el show pero desde lejito y con seguridad, yo puse al no y me quedo tranquila
oye eso a mi me late q el hombre se pega el viaje antes de fin de año, ese no se pierde una tarima ni loco 😂 pero si llega y no se baja del avión me van a oir hasta aca
mi socio ese viaje a haiti yo lo veo raro pero le puse al si xq bukele le gusta la foto y el ruido, si va es pa la camara y sale en to los papeles 🔧
Chart
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YES 49%
What people are saying
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How the pot stands
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YES 49% 51% NO
Pays x2.05 Pays x1.94
360 points380 points
It's how many points are on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their points.
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Context
La pregunta plantea si Nayib Bukele viaja a Haití antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026, con la condición de que pise territorio haitiano en persona entre el 10 de noviembre y el 30 de diciembre de ese año. La resolución se basa en lo que reporten el gobierno de El Salvador y la prensa de primer nivel. Hasta ahora no hay titulares disponibles que indiquen un viaje de ese tipo. En La Ponina, la predicción se reparte con 740 puntos: 49% para el SÍ y 51% para el NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 4:13 AM.
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Timeline
- Opened
- ClosesNext
- The event
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Market rules
YES if between November 10 and December 30, 2026 Nayib Bukele sets foot in Haiti in person, according to El Salvador's government or top-tier press. NO if he does not travel to Haiti in that period. Resolves from El Salvador's government and top-tier press (Miami time). Closes Nov 10, 6:00 PM.
- Question
- Does Nayib Bukele travel to Haiti before December 31?
- How it resolves
- YES if between November 10 and December 30, 2026 Nayib Bukele sets foot in Haiti in person, according to El Salvador's government or top-tier press. NO if he does not travel to Haiti in that period. Resolves from El Salvador's government and top-tier press (Miami time).The first official result published by the primary source counts.
- Sources
- Presidencia de El Salvador, comunicados; confirmation: Infobae / EFE, coberturaBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
- Close
- Nov 10, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
- Event
- Dec 30, 11:59 PM (Cuba time)
- Options
- YES / NO
- If known early
- If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
- If postponed
- If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
- If canceled
- If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 49% of the points are on YES and 51% on NO.
How many people have put points?
21 people have put 740 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 5 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on Nov 10, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if between November 10 and December 30, 2026 Nayib Bukele sets foot in Haiti in person, according to El Salvador's government or top-tier press. NO if he does not travel to Haiti in that period. Resolves from El Salvador's government and top-tier press (Miami time). Closes Nov 10, 6:00 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.