What is being said about this ponina, in a few lines, taken from what was published.
'Libres x Derecho II', un encuentro en Madrid sobre los presos políticos en Cuba.News14ymedio
EEUU mantiene firme su compromiso con la liberación de los presos políticos en Cuba.NewsMartí Noticias
Nueva jornada represiva en Cuba: periodistas y activistas permanecen sitiados en sus casas.NewsMartí Noticias
El régimen cubano prolonga la condena de un preso político por un supuesto 'error administrativo'.NewsDiario de Cuba
YES if before February 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the Cuban government releases more than 100 political prisoners in a single announcement or operation, confirmed by Prisoners Defenders, Cubalex, the Vatican or AP. NO if that date arrives without it.
It's how much money is on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their money. More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si el gobierno cubano excarcelará a más de 100 presos políticos en una sola operación antes del 1 de febrero de 2027, con confirmación de organizaciones como Prisoners Defenders, Cubalex, el Vaticano o AP. Los titulares recientes recogen un encuentro en Madrid sobre presos políticos, una nueva jornada represiva con periodistas y activistas sitiados, la prolongación de una condena por un supuesto error administrativo y el compromiso declarado de EE.UU. con la liberación. En La Ponina la predicción se reparte con 3580 puntos: 54% a SÍ y 46% a NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:34 PM.
YES if before February 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the Cuban government releases more than 100 political prisoners in a single announcement or operation, confirmed by Prisoners Defenders, Cubalex, the Vatican or AP. NO if that date arrives without it. Closes Jan 31, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will Cuba release more than 100 political prisoners at once before February 2027?
How it resolves
YES if before February 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the Cuban government releases more than 100 political prisoners in a single announcement or operation, confirmed by Prisoners Defenders, Cubalex, the Vatican or AP. NO if that date arrives without it.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Prisoners Defenders y Cubalex; confirmation: Associated Press / VaticanoBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Jan 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 54% of the points are on YES and 46% on NO.
How many people have put points?
41 people have put 3,580 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 34 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on Jan 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if before February 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the Cuban government releases more than 100 political prisoners in a single announcement or operation, confirmed by Prisoners Defenders, Cubalex, the Vatican or AP. NO if that date arrives without it. Closes Jan 31, 11:59 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.
