YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Raúl Castro is in the custody of United States authorities, confirmed by the US Department of Justice or by AP. NO if that date arrives without it, for any reason.
It's how much money is on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their money. More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si Raúl Castro quedará bajo custodia de Estados Unidos antes del 1 de junio de 2027, con confirmación del Departamento de Justicia estadounidense o de AP. Los titulares reportan la dimisión de Jason Reding Quiñones, fiscal de Florida que impulsó la acusación en Estados Unidos contra Raúl Castro, según varios medios. En La Ponina hay 4320 puntos en la pregunta, repartidos en 43% para el SÍ y 57% para el NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 11:42 AM.
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Raúl Castro is in the custody of United States authorities, confirmed by the US Department of Justice or by AP. NO if that date arrives without it, for any reason. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will Raúl Castro be in United States custody before June 2027?
How it resolves
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Raúl Castro is in the custody of United States authorities, confirmed by the US Department of Justice or by AP. NO if that date arrives without it, for any reason.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
US Department of Justice; confirmation: Associated PressBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 43% of the points are on YES and 57% on NO.
How many people have put points?
43 people have put 4,350 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 25 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Raúl Castro is in the custody of United States authorities, confirmed by the US Department of Justice or by AP. NO if that date arrives without it, for any reason. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.
