YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the law in force in Cuba allows more than one political party, or a second party is legally recognized, published in the Gaceta Oficial or confirmed by AP. Any government in power counts. NO if that date arrives without it. Promises, bills not passed and parties in exile do not count.
It's how much money is on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their money. More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si antes del 1 de junio de 2027 la ley cubana permitirá más de un partido político legal o si un segundo partido quedará reconocido oficialmente, según la Gaceta Oficial o la confirmación de AP. En La Ponina, esta predicción suma 3900 puntos, repartidos en 41% para el SÍ y 59% para el NO. No se han proporcionado titulares que reporten cambios recientes sobre este tema.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 11:44 AM.
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the law in force in Cuba allows more than one political party, or a second party is legally recognized, published in the Gaceta Oficial or confirmed by AP. Any government in power counts. NO if that date arrives without it. Promises, bills not passed and parties in exile do not count. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will Cuba have more than one legal political party before June 2027?
How it resolves
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the law in force in Cuba allows more than one political party, or a second party is legally recognized, published in the Gaceta Oficial or confirmed by AP. Any government in power counts. NO if that date arrives without it. Promises, bills not passed and parties in exile do not count.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Gaceta Oficial de la República de Cuba; confirmation: Associated PressBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 41% of the points are on YES and 59% on NO.
How many people have put points?
42 people have put 4,100 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 31 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the law in force in Cuba allows more than one political party, or a second party is legally recognized, published in the Gaceta Oficial or confirmed by AP. Any government in power counts. NO if that date arrives without it. Promises, bills not passed and parties in exile do not count. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.
