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The dictatorship's UNE admits 24-hour blackouts: will Cuba get through Christmas Eve without a blackout?
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The dictatorship's UNE admits 24-hour blackouts: will Cuba get through Christmas Eve without a blackout?

The story

La Unión Eléctrica de la dictadura admitió en su propia nota, publicada por Cubadebate el 7 de noviembre, que «se afectó el servicio por déficit de capacidad durante las 24 horas», con una afectación máxima de 1.814 MW.

CiberCuba contó el 5 de noviembre el caso de un cubano que solo recibe electricidad de madrugada: «Me desvela saber que hay luz». Infobae informó el 7 de noviembre que los espacios de cotrabajo crecen en La Habana por los apagones. La pregunta es si el pueblo cubano pasa la Nochebuena con luz.

Sources Cubadebatestate mediaCiberCubaInfobae

YES if the Unión Eléctrica (UNE) daily note reporting on December 24, 2026 says the service was not affected by generation-capacity deficit at any moment that day (maximum deficit shortfall of 0 MW). NO if it reports any deficit shortfall on December 24, at any hour. If the UNE publishes no such note by December 26, 2026 at 11:59 pm (Miami time), the daily blackout summary of CiberCuba or Directorio Cubano for that day decides.

2,210 points 31 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 45 d 8 h

Why it matters

Who
La UNE · Cuba
What
La Unión Eléctrica de la dictadura admitió en su propia nota, publicada por Cubadebate el 7 de noviembre, que «se afectó el servicio por déficit de capacidad durante…
When
Pasa el 24 de diciembre; aquí se decide antes, hasta el 23 de diciembre (hora de Miami).
How it is decided
SÍ si la nota diaria de la Unión Eléctrica (UNE) que informa sobre el 24 de diciembre de 2026 dice que ese día no se afectó el servicio por déficit de capacidad de…
Why you should care
La propia Unión Eléctrica admite el déficit y tu familia lo vive: ¿pasa el pueblo cubano la Nochebuena con luz?

Say yours: why YES or why NO?

Log in to commentLog in

?
58% Yes 42% No

Chart

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50% · Nov 7, 12:48 PM 50% · Nov 7, 12:51 PM 50% · Nov 7, 1:01 PM 50% · Nov 7, 1:11 PM 50% · Nov 7, 1:21 PM 50% · Nov 7, 1:31 PM 50% · Nov 7, 1:41 PM 50% · Nov 7, 1:51 PM 86% · Nov 7, 1:51 PM 91% · Nov 7, 1:51 PM 91% · Nov 7, 2:01 PM 77% · Nov 7, 2:08 PM 83% · Nov 7, 2:08 PM 83% · Nov 7, 2:11 PM 83% · Nov 7, 2:21 PM 83% · Nov 7, 2:31 PM 83% · Nov 7, 2:41 PM 83% · Nov 7, 2:51 PM 83% · Nov 7, 3:01 PM 68% · Nov 7, 3:02 PM 68% · Nov 7, 3:11 PM 68% · Nov 7, 3:21 PM 56% · Nov 7, 3:30 PM 56% · Nov 7, 3:31 PM 56% · Nov 7, 3:41 PM 56% · Nov 7, 3:51 PM 59% · Nov 7, 3:57 PM 59% · Nov 7, 4:01 PM 59% · Nov 7, 4:11 PM 59% · Nov 7, 4:25 PM 59% · Nov 7, 4:31 PM 59% · Nov 7, 4:41 PM 59% · Nov 7, 4:51 PM 52% · Nov 7, 4:51 PM 52% · Nov 7, 5:01 PM 52% · Nov 7, 5:11 PM 47% · Nov 7, 5:12 PM 54% · Nov 7, 5:12 PM 59% · Nov 7, 5:13 PM 59% · Nov 7, 5:22 PM 59% · Nov 7, 5:31 PM 59% · Nov 7, 5:41 PM 59% · Nov 7, 5:51 PM 59% · Nov 7, 6:01 PM 59% · Nov 7, 6:11 PM 59% · Nov 7, 6:21 PM 59% · Nov 7, 6:31 PM 59% · Nov 7, 6:41 PM 59% · Nov 7, 6:51 PM 59% · Nov 7, 7:01 PM 59% · Nov 7, 7:11 PM 62% · Nov 7, 7:13 PM 64% · Nov 7, 7:14 PM 64% · Nov 7, 7:21 PM 64% · Nov 7, 7:31 PM 64% · Nov 7, 7:41 PM 64% · Nov 7, 7:51 PM 67% · Nov 7, 7:58 PM 67% · Nov 7, 8:01 PM 67% · Nov 7, 8:11 PM 67% · Nov 7, 8:21 PM 67% · Nov 7, 8:31 PM 64% · Nov 7, 8:40 PM 64% · Nov 7, 8:41 PM 64% · Nov 7, 8:51 PM 60% · Nov 7, 8:59 PM 60% · Nov 7, 9:01 PM 58% · Nov 7, 9:04 PM 58% · Nov 7, 9:11 PM 54% · Nov 7, 9:14 PM 54% · Nov 7, 9:21 PM 54% · Nov 7, 9:31 PM 54% · Nov 7, 9:41 PM 54% · Nov 7, 9:51 PM 54% · Nov 7, 10:01 PM 54% · Nov 7, 10:11 PM 54% · Nov 7, 10:21 PM 54% · Nov 7, 10:31 PM 54% · Nov 7, 10:41 PM 54% · Nov 7, 10:51 PM 54% · Nov 7, 11:01 PM 54% · Nov 7, 11:11 PM 54% · Nov 7, 11:21 PM 54% · Nov 7, 11:31 PM 54% · Nov 7, 11:41 PM 55% · Nov 7, 11:45 PM 50% · Nov 7, 11:46 PM 50% · Nov 7, 11:51 PM 50% · Nov 8, 12:01 AM 48% · Nov 8, 12:06 AM 48% · Nov 8, 12:11 AM 48% · Nov 8, 12:21 AM 48% · Nov 8, 12:31 AM 49% · Nov 8, 12:37 AM 49% · Nov 8, 12:41 AM 49% · Nov 8, 12:51 AM 49% · Nov 8, 12:53 AM 49% · Nov 8, 1:01 AM 52% · Nov 8, 1:03 AM 52% · Nov 8, 1:11 AM 52% · Nov 8, 1:21 AM 52% · Nov 8, 1:31 AM 55% · Nov 8, 1:40 AM 55% · Nov 8, 1:41 AM 56% · Nov 8, 1:48 AM 59% · Nov 8, 1:48 AM 56% · Nov 8, 1:48 AM 56% · Nov 8, 1:51 AM 56% · Nov 8, 2:01 AM 56% · Nov 8, 2:11 AM 56% · Nov 8, 2:21 AM 58% · Nov 8, 2:22 AM 58% · Nov 8, 2:31 AM 58% · Nov 8, 2:41 AM 58% · Nov 8, 2:51 AM 58% · Nov 8, 3:01 AM 58% · Nov 8, 3:11 AM 58% · Nov 8, 3:21 AM 58% · Nov 8, 3:31 AM 58% · Nov 8, 3:41 AM 58% · Nov 8, 3:51 AM 58% · Nov 8, 4:01 AM 57% · Nov 8, 4:04 AM 57% · Nov 8, 4:11 AM 57% · Nov 8, 4:21 AM 57% · Nov 8, 4:31 AM 57% · Nov 8, 4:41 AM 57% · Nov 8, 4:49 AM 58% · Nov 8, 4:50 AM 59% · Nov 8, 4:50 AM 57% · Nov 8, 4:50 AM 57% · Nov 8, 4:51 AM 57% · Nov 8, 5:01 AM 57% · Nov 8, 5:11 AM 56% · Nov 8, 5:13 AM 56% · Nov 8, 5:21 AM 56% · Nov 8, 5:31 AM 57% · Nov 8, 5:38 AM 57% · Nov 8, 5:41 AM 57% · Nov 8, 5:51 AM 59% · Nov 8, 5:58 AM 60% · Nov 8, 5:58 AM 61% · Nov 8, 5:59 AM 60% · Nov 8, 5:59 AM 60% · Nov 8, 6:01 AM 60% · Nov 8, 6:02 AM 58% · Nov 8, 6:09 AM 58% · Nov 8, 6:09 AM 58% · Nov 8, 6:09 AM 57% · Nov 8, 6:09 AM 57% · Nov 8, 6:11 AM 57% · Nov 8, 6:21 AM 57% · Nov 8, 6:31 AM 58% · Nov 8, 6:31 AM 59% · Nov 8, 6:35 AM 59% · Nov 8, 6:41 AM 58% · Nov 8, 6:42 AM 58% · Nov 8, 6:51 AM 57% · Nov 8, 6:55 AM 58% · Nov 8, 6:55 AM 58% · Nov 8, 6:55 AM 57% · Nov 8, 6:55 AM 57% · Nov 8, 7:01 AM 57% · Nov 8, 7:11 AM 57% · Nov 8, 7:21 AM 57% · Nov 8, 7:31 AM 57% · Nov 8, 7:41 AM 57% · Nov 8, 7:51 AM 57% · Nov 8, 8:01 AM 57% · Nov 8, 8:11 AM 57% · Nov 8, 8:21 AM 57% · Nov 8, 8:31 AM 57% · Nov 8, 8:41 AM 58% · Nov 8, 8:41 AM 58% · Nov 8, 8:45 AM 58% · Nov 8, 8:51 AM 58% · Nov 8, 9:01 AM 58% · Nov 8, 9:11 AM 58% · Nov 8, 9:21 AM 58% · Nov 8, 9:31 AM 58% · Nov 8, 9:41 AM 58% · Nov 8, 9:51 AM 58% · Nov 8, 10:01 AM 58% · Nov 8, 10:11 AM 58% · Nov 8, 10:14 AM 58% · Nov 8, 10:21 AM 58% · Nov 8, 10:31 AM 58% · Nov 8, 10:41 AM 58% · Nov 8, 10:51 AM 58% · Nov 8, 11:01 AM 57% · Nov 8, 11:04 AM 57% · Nov 8, 11:11 AM 58% · Nov 8, 11:15 AM 56% · Nov 8, 11:15 AM 56% · Nov 8, 11:21 AM 56% · Nov 8, 11:31 AM 56% · Nov 8, 11:41 AM 56% · Nov 8, 11:51 AM 56% · Nov 8, 12:01 PM 56% · Nov 8, 12:11 PM 56% · Nov 8, 12:21 PM 56% · Nov 8, 12:31 PM 57% · Nov 8, 12:38 PM 58% · Nov 8, 12:39 PM 58% · Nov 8, 12:41 PM 58% · Nov 8, 12:51 PM 58% · Nov 8, 1:01 PM 58% · Nov 8, 1:11 PM 58% · Nov 8, 1:21 PM 58% · Nov 8, 1:31 PM 58% · Nov 8, 1:41 PM 58% · Nov 8, 1:51 PM 58% · Nov 8, 2:01 PM 58% · Nov 8, 2:11 PM 58% · Nov 8, 2:21 PM 58% · Nov 8, 2:31 PM 58% · Nov 8, 2:41 PM 58% · Nov 8, 2:51 PM 58% · Nov 8, 3:01 PM 58% · Nov 8, 3:03 PM

YES 58%

How the pot stands

YES 58% 42% NO
Pays x1.72 Pays x2.37
1,280 points930 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si el 24 de diciembre de 2026 transcurre sin afectación eléctrica por déficit de capacidad en Cuba, según la nota diaria de la Unión Eléctrica. El contexto es que la UNE reconoce apagones las 24 horas. En La Ponina, esta predicción reúne 2210 puntos, con el 58% inclinado por el SÍ y el 42% por el NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:23 PM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

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Minimum All 502001,000

Nobody has put 200 points or more yet.

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext
  3. The event

Market rules

YES if the Unión Eléctrica (UNE) daily note reporting on December 24, 2026 says the service was not affected by generation-capacity deficit at any moment that day (maximum deficit shortfall of 0 MW). NO if it reports any deficit shortfall on December 24, at any hour. If the UNE publishes no such note by December 26, 2026 at 11:59 pm (Miami time), the daily blackout summary of CiberCuba or Directorio Cubano for that day decides. Closes Dec 23, 11:59 PM.
Question
The dictatorship's UNE admits 24-hour blackouts: will Cuba get through Christmas Eve without a blackout?
How it resolves
YES if the Unión Eléctrica (UNE) daily note reporting on December 24, 2026 says the service was not affected by generation-capacity deficit at any moment that day (maximum deficit shortfall of 0 MW). NO if it reports any deficit shortfall on December 24, at any hour. If the UNE publishes no such note by December 26, 2026 at 11:59 pm (Miami time), the daily blackout summary of CiberCuba or Directorio Cubano for that day decides.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Nota diaria de la UNE en cubadebate.cu / perfil oficial de la Unión Eléctrica; confirmation: CiberCuba / Directorio Cubano (resumen diario de apagones)Both sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Dec 23, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Event
Dec 24, 12:00 AM (Cuba time)
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 58% of the points are on YES and 42% on NO.

How many people have put points?

31 people have put 2,210 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 11 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Dec 23, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if the Unión Eléctrica (UNE) daily note reporting on December 24, 2026 says the service was not affected by generation-capacity deficit at any moment that day (maximum deficit shortfall of 0 MW). NO if it reports any deficit shortfall on December 24, at any hour. If the UNE publishes no such note by December 26, 2026 at 11:59 pm (Miami time), the daily blackout summary of CiberCuba or Directorio Cubano for that day decides. Closes Dec 23, 11:59 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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