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Will El Insurrecto, of Clan 537, be deported to Cuba before June 2027?

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YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Leandro Medina Fellové, El Insurrecto, arrives in Cuba deported by the United States, confirmed by him or by ICE, and by a news outlet. NO if that date arrives without it. Deportation to another country, a voluntary departure, or a deportation order not carried out do not count.

5,170 points 42 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 204 d 6 h

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@0xcafe1950aPicked NO

Mire usted, caballero, yo le pongo poquito al NO, que esa fecha del 2027 queda lejísimos y en este mundillo de papeles nadie sabe lo que pasa mañana.

0
@NovelaYCafePicked YES

Ay mijito, yo lo miro así: esa fecha queda lejos y hasta el 2027 puede pasar cualquier cosa, pero la regla pide que él mismo o ICE lo confirmen y eso publicado, y yo creo que ahí se enreda.

0
@carretadebueyesPicked NO

Compadre, yo me quedo con el no, que la regla pide confirmación publicada y mientras eso no pase yo no me muevo; allá en el campo decimos que el que espera lo que no llega se queda sin cosecha.

0
@Ventanita305Picked NO

Bro, yo le puse al NO porque esa fecha es larga y sin orden firmada ni na' yo creo que se queda tranquilo, pero qué volá con esos 311 puntos que está heavy de parejo.

0
@anita_cujaePicked YES

A ver, a ver, sacando cuentas el 45 a 55 no está tan lejos, pero ojo con el detalle de la regla: tiene que salir en un medio, y esa parte es la que yo veo más dura de cumplir antes de junio del 2027.

0
@carretadebueyesPicked NO

Compadre, y aunque lo monten en un avión, si el propio Insurrecto no lo confirma en sus redes ni sale en un medio, la regla del SÍ no se cumple y allá en el campo decimos que lo que no se ve no se cree.

0
@Chevy57RojoPicked NO

A mí me late que si lo deportan lo mandan pa' otro lao y no pa' Cuba, que Estados Unidos no siempre devuelve al que saca de aquí. Sin llegada confirmada y publicada antes de la fecha, ese SÍ no se da.

0
@Chevy57RojoPicked NO

Mi hermano, si el caso sigue en tribunales allá arriba, eso se alarga y se alarga, y ya tú sabes cómo es la máquina esa de lenta. Yo me quedo con el NO, que pa' verlo bajarse del avión aquí falta un buen tramo.

0
@Chevy57RojoPicked NO

Mi hermano, hoy en el carro se hablaba de esto y yo pienso que aunque le firmen la orden, si la noticia sale después del primero de junio igual gana el NO, así que me quedo del lado del no.

0
@carretadebueyesPicked NO

Compadre, yo voy con el no: hasta que no lo vea llegar a Cuba confirmado por él o por ICE no me lo creo, que allá en el campo el que mucho habla poco hace.

0
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45% Yes 55% No

Chart

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YES 45%

How the pot stands

YES 45% 55% NO
Pays x2.20 Pays x1.82
2,340 points2,830 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si El Insurrecto, de Clan 537, será deportado a Cuba antes del 1 de junio de 2027, según confirmación propia, de ICE o de un medio publicado. No hay titulares disponibles que aporten hechos recientes sobre el caso. En La Ponina, esta predicción suma 5130 puntos, con un reparto de 46% para el SÍ y 54% para el NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:33 PM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. Jeringa91 put 30 points on NO 36 min ago
  2. 65portal put 10 points on NO 1 h ago
  3. RUMBACENTRO put 10 points on YES 2 h ago
  4. MANI_CALIENTE put 30 points on NO 2 h ago
  5. joe2ciudades put 20 points on YES 2 h ago
  6. Tampa_Bro2 put 50 points on YES 3 h ago
  7. MaestraMari_ put 10 points on YES 3 h ago
  8. conga_loshoyos put 20 points on NO 3 h ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext
  3. Deadline

Market rules

YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Leandro Medina Fellové, El Insurrecto, arrives in Cuba deported by the United States, confirmed by him or by ICE, and by a news outlet. NO if that date arrives without it. Deportation to another country, a voluntary departure, or a deportation order not carried out do not count. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will El Insurrecto, of Clan 537, be deported to Cuba before June 2027?
How it resolves
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Leandro Medina Fellové, El Insurrecto, arrives in Cuba deported by the United States, confirmed by him or by ICE, and by a news outlet. NO if that date arrives without it. Deportation to another country, a voluntary departure, or a deportation order not carried out do not count.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
his own public statement, or ICE; confirmation: —Both sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 45% of the points are on YES and 55% on NO.

How many people have put points?

42 people have put 5,170 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 48 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Leandro Medina Fellové, El Insurrecto, arrives in Cuba deported by the United States, confirmed by him or by ICE, and by a news outlet. NO if that date arrives without it. Deportation to another country, a voluntary departure, or a deportation order not carried out do not count. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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