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Will the OCDH count more than 400 repressive actions by the Cuban dictatorship in November?
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Will the OCDH count more than 400 repressive actions by the Cuban dictatorship in November?

Your prediction Yes

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The story

El Observatorio Cubano de Derechos Humanos (OCDH) denunció 387 actos represivos del régimen cubano en octubre, según Diario Las Américas y ADN Cuba.

Hoja de Ruta Digital lo presentó como el «preludio de la escalada represiva en noviembre». Esa misma semana, Estados Unidos condenó la ola de arrestos de periodistas, según Diario de Cuba y EL PAÍS. La pregunta es si el conteo de noviembre pasa de 400.

Sources Diario Las AméricasADN CubaHoja de Ruta DigitalDiario de CubaEL PAÍS

Summary

What is being said about this ponina, in a few lines, taken from what was published.

  • OCDH: Al menos 387 acciones represivas en Cuba en octubre como preludio de la escalada represiva en noviembre. NewsHoja de Ruta Digital
  • Casi 400 acciones represivas en un mes: OCDH alerta sobre escalada en Cuba. NewsMartí Noticias
  • OCDH documentó 387 acciones represivas en Cuba durante octubre y denunció abusos contra presos políticos. NewsCubanos por el Mundo
  • El OCDH denuncia 387 actos represivos del régimen cubano en octubre. NewsDiario Las Américas
  • Hoja de Ruta Digital lo presentó como el «preludio de la escalada represiva en noviembre». The story

YES if the monthly report of the Cuban Observatory for Human Rights (OCDH) on November 2026, published before December 16, 2026 (Miami time), counts 401 or more repressive actions in Cuba. It counted 387 in October. NO if it counts 400 or fewer, or if the November report is not out before December 16.

3,330 points 37 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 28 d 7 h

Why it matters

Who
El OCDH
What
El Observatorio Cubano de Derechos Humanos (OCDH) denunció 387 actos represivos del régimen cubano en octubre, según Diario Las Américas y ADN Cuba.
When
Se decide antes del 6 de diciembre (hora de Miami).
How it is decided
SÍ si el informe mensual del Observatorio Cubano de Derechos Humanos (OCDH) sobre noviembre de 2026, publicado antes del 16 de diciembre de 2026 (hora de Miami), cuenta…
Why you should care
La dictadura sigue reprimiendo a los cubanos: ¿pasa de 400 el conteo de actos represivos de noviembre?

Say yours: why YES or why NO?

Comments 19

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?
47% Yes 53% No

Chart

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YES 47%

The latest on this

  1. La dictadura cubana suma al menos 387 acciones represivas en octubre, según el OCDH Per CiberCuba Actualidad Save
  2. Casi 400 acciones represivas en un mes: OCDH alerta sobre escalada en Cuba Per Martí Noticias Save
  3. OCDH documenta 387 acciones represivas en Cuba durante octubre y alerta sobre nueva escalada Per Cubita NOW Save
  4. OCDH documentó 387 acciones represivas en Cuba durante octubre y denunció abusos contra presos políticos Per Cubanos por el Mundo Save
  5. OCDH: Al menos 387 acciones represivas en Cuba en octubre como preludio de la escalada represiva en noviembre Per Hoja de Ruta Digital Save
Read here

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How the pot stands

YES 47% 53% NO
Pays x2.13 Pays x1.88
1,560 points1,770 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si el informe mensual del Observatorio Cubano de Derechos Humanos (OCDH) sobre noviembre de 2026 contará 401 acciones represivas o más en Cuba, dado a conocer antes del 16 de diciembre de 2026. Según los titulares, el OCDH documentó 387 acciones represivas en octubre y alertó sobre una posible escalada para noviembre. En La Ponina, la predicción reparte 3160 puntos, con un 47% inclinándose por el SÍ y un 53% por el NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:34 PM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. Mami_Yaque_Tampa put 50 points on YES 1 h ago
  2. changuisero put 50 points on YES 2 h ago
  3. CerroBaila_39 put 50 points on NO 3 h ago
  4. Yane_Flow put 50 points on NO 10 h ago
  5. YANISTYLE92 put 50 points on YES 12 h ago
  6. CasinoMarianao put 50 points on YES 16 h ago
  7. Chichiribiri put 50 points on NO 17 h ago
  8. Rosario_Luz72 put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
  9. kike_rimas4 put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
  10. YaimaNails put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
  11. Mami_Yaque_Tampa put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
  12. Tampa_Bro2 put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
  13. lazaro1717 put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
  14. carretadebueyes put 50 points on NO 1 d ago
  15. avispero_7 put 50 points on NO 1 d ago
  16. NovelaYCafe put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
  17. Chichiribiri put 50 points on NO 1 d ago
  18. anita_cujae put 50 points on NO 1 d ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

 YES if the monthly report of the Cuban Observatory for Human Rights (OCDH) on November 2026, published before December 16, 2026 (Miami time), counts 401 or more repressive actions in Cuba. It counted 387 in October. NO if it counts 400 or fewer, or if the November report is not out before December 16. Closes Dec 6, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will the OCDH count more than 400 repressive actions by the Cuban dictatorship in November?
How it resolves
YES if the monthly report of the Cuban Observatory for Human Rights (OCDH) on November 2026, published before December 16, 2026 (Miami time), counts 401 or more repressive actions in Cuba. It counted 387 in October. NO if it counts 400 or fewer, or if the November report is not out before December 16.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
observacuba.org (informe mensual del OCDH); confirmation: Diario Las Américas / Diario de CubaBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Dec 6, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 47% of the points are on YES and 53% on NO.

How many people have put points?

37 people have put 3,330 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 19 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Dec 6, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if the monthly report of the Cuban Observatory for Human Rights (OCDH) on November 2026, published before December 16, 2026 (Miami time), counts 401 or more repressive actions in Cuba. It counted 387 in October. NO if it counts 400 or fewer, or if the November report is not out before December 16. Closes Dec 6, 11:59 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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