YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the United States government and the Cuban government sign a written agreement, confirmed by the State Department or AP. NO if that date arrives without it. Meetings, talks and promises do not count.
80% · Nov 6, 3:14 AM81% · Nov 6, 3:14 AM82% · Nov 6, 3:14 AM69% · Nov 6, 3:18 AM70% · Nov 6, 3:25 AM63% · Nov 6, 3:47 AM59% · Nov 6, 4:15 AM61% · Nov 6, 4:19 AM68% · Nov 6, 4:19 AM70% · Nov 6, 4:40 AM71% · Nov 6, 5:21 AM68% · Nov 6, 5:22 AM63% · Nov 6, 5:22 AM59% · Nov 6, 5:26 AM55% · Nov 6, 5:26 AM54% · Nov 6, 6:28 AM56% · Nov 6, 6:53 AM52% · Nov 6, 6:53 AM52% · Nov 6, 7:27 AM54% · Nov 6, 7:27 AM55% · Nov 6, 7:37 AM58% · Nov 6, 7:53 AM60% · Nov 6, 8:34 AM61% · Nov 6, 8:36 AM58% · Nov 6, 8:53 AM59% · Nov 6, 9:16 AM59% · Nov 6, 9:45 AM60% · Nov 6, 9:53 AM62% · Nov 6, 9:53 AM63% · Nov 6, 10:01 AM63% · Nov 6, 10:04 AM64% · Nov 6, 10:07 AM61% · Nov 6, 10:48 AM63% · Nov 6, 10:59 AM61% · Nov 6, 12:15 PM61% · Nov 6, 12:17 PM62% · Nov 6, 12:26 PM64% · Nov 6, 12:36 PM64% · Nov 6, 12:41 PM65% · Nov 6, 12:52 PM66% · Nov 6, 1:08 PM65% · Nov 6, 2:00 PM66% · Nov 6, 2:51 PM66% · Nov 6, 3:17 PM64% · Nov 6, 3:49 PM65% · Nov 6, 4:00 PM64% · Nov 6, 4:40 PM64% · Nov 6, 4:40 PM65% · Nov 6, 4:41 PM65% · Nov 6, 4:41 PM63% · Nov 6, 4:51 PM63% · Nov 6, 4:57 PM64% · Nov 6, 4:58 PM64% · Nov 6, 4:58 PM64% · Nov 6, 4:58 PM65% · Nov 6, 4:58 PM63% · Nov 6, 5:31 PM62% · Nov 6, 6:00 PM61% · Nov 6, 6:01 PM60% · Nov 6, 6:01 PM58% · Nov 6, 7:39 PM59% · Nov 6, 8:03 PM60% · Nov 6, 8:26 PM60% · Nov 6, 8:46 PM61% · Nov 6, 9:11 PM61% · Nov 6, 9:43 PM59% · Nov 6, 10:32 PM60% · Nov 6, 10:37 PM59% · Nov 6, 11:46 PM59% · Nov 7, 12:18 AM60% · Nov 7, 12:29 AM61% · Nov 7, 12:43 AM60% · Nov 7, 12:43 AM60% · Nov 7, 12:43 AM61% · Nov 7, 12:44 AM62% · Nov 7, 1:18 AM62% · Nov 7, 1:55 AM63% · Nov 7, 3:00 AM63% · Nov 7, 4:03 AM63% · Nov 7, 4:50 AM62% · Nov 7, 4:51 AM63% · Nov 7, 4:51 AM63% · Nov 7, 5:03 AM64% · Nov 7, 6:20 AM64% · Nov 7, 7:49 AM63% · Nov 7, 7:50 AM62% · Nov 7, 9:10 AM62% · Nov 7, 9:37 AM62% · Nov 7, 9:44 AM62% · Nov 7, 10:46 AM62% · Nov 7, 12:26 PM62% · Nov 7, 12:27 PM62% · Nov 7, 12:37 PM63% · Nov 7, 12:54 PM64% · Nov 7, 12:54 PM63% · Nov 7, 12:55 PM64% · Nov 7, 1:12 PM63% · Nov 7, 1:52 PM63% · Nov 7, 2:02 PM63% · Nov 7, 2:53 PM64% · Nov 7, 3:15 PM64% · Nov 7, 3:16 PM64% · Nov 7, 4:30 PM64% · Nov 7, 4:39 PM65% · Nov 7, 5:49 PM64% · Nov 7, 5:56 PM63% · Nov 7, 6:27 PM63% · Nov 7, 6:34 PM63% · Nov 7, 6:47 PM63% · Nov 7, 7:04 PM62% · Nov 7, 7:16 PM61% · Nov 7, 7:55 PM61% · Nov 7, 7:59 PM62% · Nov 7, 8:13 PM62% · Nov 7, 8:14 PM63% · Nov 7, 8:52 PM62% · Nov 7, 9:36 PM61% · Nov 7, 9:39 PM61% · Nov 7, 10:53 PM61% · Nov 7, 10:54 PM61% · Nov 7, 11:04 PM62% · Nov 7, 11:05 PM62% · Nov 7, 11:05 PM62% · Nov 8, 12:42 AM63% · Nov 8, 12:42 AM64% · Nov 8, 12:59 AM64% · Nov 8, 1:53 AM64% · Nov 8, 2:29 AM64% · Nov 8, 2:29 AM65% · Nov 8, 2:29 AM65% · Nov 8, 2:31 AM66% · Nov 8, 4:02 AM66% · Nov 8, 4:17 AM66% · Nov 8, 4:44 AM66% · Nov 8, 5:05 AM66% · Nov 8, 6:13 AM66% · Nov 8, 6:13 AM66% · Nov 8, 6:16 AM66% · Nov 8, 6:50 AM66% · Nov 8, 9:17 AM66% · Nov 8, 9:32 AM66% · Nov 8, 9:32 AM67% · Nov 8, 9:43 AM66% · Nov 8, 10:11 AM66% · Nov 8, 11:28 AM66% · Nov 8, 11:37 AM66% · Nov 8, 12:26 PM66% · Nov 8, 1:29 PM66% · Nov 8, 2:51 PM66% · Nov 8, 4:01 PM66% · Nov 8, 4:24 PM
Nov 6Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8
YES 66%
How the pot stands
Be the first
YES66%34%NO
Pays x1.50Pays x2.96
3,100 points1,580 points
Pot %
It's how much money is on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their money. More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si Estados Unidos y el gobierno cubano firmarán un acuerdo por escrito antes del 1 de junio de 2027, con confirmación del Departamento de Estado o de AP; las reuniones, conversaciones y promesas no cuentan para el SÍ. No se ofrecen titulares de contexto en esta consulta. En La Ponina, la predicción se inclina hacia el SÍ con 66% de los puntos, mientras el NO concentra el 34% restante sobre un total de 4630 puntos.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 1:06 PM.
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the United States government and the Cuban government sign a written agreement, confirmed by the State Department or AP. NO if that date arrives without it. Meetings, talks and promises do not count. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will the United States and the Cuban regime sign an agreement before June 2027?
How it resolves
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the United States government and the Cuban government sign a written agreement, confirmed by the State Department or AP. NO if that date arrives without it. Meetings, talks and promises do not count.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Departamento de Estado de EE. UU.; confirmation: Associated PressBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 66% of the points are on YES and 34% on NO.
How many people have put points?
42 people have put 4,680 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 35 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) the United States government and the Cuban government sign a written agreement, confirmed by the State Department or AP. NO if that date arrives without it. Meetings, talks and promises do not count. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.
