La Unión Eléctrica reportó 1.920 MW de afectación el 4 de noviembre y 1.770 MW al día siguiente, según Cubadebate, todavía lejos de los picos de verano, que llegaron a 2.300 y 2.400 MW.
Periódico Cubano habló ese mismo 4 de noviembre de un «déficit crítico y siete unidades fuera de servicio». A fines de octubre, según CiberCuba, ya se habían superado los 2.000 MW un viernes. La pregunta es si el apagón vuelve a pasar de los 2.100 MW antes del 30 de noviembre.
YES if from November 7 through November 29, 2026 (Miami time) any daily note of the Unión Eléctrica (UNE) gives a shortfall of 2,100 MW or more, either forecast for the evening peak or the actual one of the day before. It forecast 1,920 MW on November 4 and 1,770 MW on November 5. NO if no note in those days reaches 2,100 MW.
La Unión Eléctrica reportó 1.920 MW de afectación el 4 de noviembre y 1.770 MW al día siguiente, según Cubadebate, todavía lejos de los picos de verano, que llegaron a…
⏰When
Se decide antes del 29 de noviembre (hora de Miami).
⚖️How it is decided
SÍ si entre el 7 y el 29 de noviembre de 2026 (hora de Miami) alguna nota diaria de la Unión Eléctrica (UNE) da una afectación de 2.100 MW o más, sea la pronosticada…
🔥Why you should care
Los apagones los vive tu familia en Cuba cada día: ¿vuelven a pasar de 2.100 MW antes de que acabe noviembre?
33% · Nov 6, 6:27 AM71% · Nov 6, 6:34 AM75% · Nov 6, 6:41 AM88% · Nov 6, 6:42 AM75% · Nov 6, 6:44 AM71% · Nov 6, 6:51 AM63% · Nov 6, 6:53 AM56% · Nov 6, 6:54 AM61% · Nov 6, 7:30 AM63% · Nov 6, 8:01 AM54% · Nov 6, 8:18 AM53% · Nov 6, 8:29 AM49% · Nov 6, 8:46 AM51% · Nov 6, 9:21 AM50% · Nov 6, 9:37 AM48% · Nov 6, 10:28 AM50% · Nov 6, 11:02 AM53% · Nov 6, 11:02 AM50% · Nov 6, 11:02 AM53% · Nov 6, 11:27 AM56% · Nov 6, 11:34 AM58% · Nov 6, 11:44 AM54% · Nov 6, 2:41 PM51% · Nov 6, 2:45 PM48% · Nov 6, 3:59 PM46% · Nov 6, 3:59 PM44% · Nov 6, 4:29 PM44% · Nov 6, 5:27 PM46% · Nov 6, 5:28 PM45% · Nov 6, 5:28 PM44% · Nov 6, 5:40 PM43% · Nov 6, 5:42 PM42% · Nov 6, 5:43 PM45% · Nov 6, 5:43 PM45% · Nov 6, 5:43 PM44% · Nov 6, 5:44 PM43% · Nov 6, 6:21 PM43% · Nov 6, 6:21 PM42% · Nov 6, 6:46 PM41% · Nov 6, 6:46 PM41% · Nov 6, 7:22 PM40% · Nov 6, 7:22 PM38% · Nov 6, 7:23 PM40% · Nov 6, 8:32 PM40% · Nov 6, 9:51 PM39% · Nov 6, 10:36 PM37% · Nov 6, 10:39 PM38% · Nov 6, 10:55 PM38% · Nov 6, 11:03 PM37% · Nov 6, 11:04 PM37% · Nov 6, 11:40 PM38% · Nov 6, 11:41 PM38% · Nov 6, 11:52 PM39% · Nov 6, 11:53 PM38% · Nov 7, 1:43 AM39% · Nov 7, 1:53 AM41% · Nov 7, 2:06 AM42% · Nov 7, 2:06 AM42% · Nov 7, 2:30 AM43% · Nov 7, 2:31 AM43% · Nov 7, 3:37 AM42% · Nov 7, 5:31 AM43% · Nov 7, 5:31 AM42% · Nov 7, 5:31 AM43% · Nov 7, 6:09 AM43% · Nov 7, 7:21 AM44% · Nov 7, 7:50 AM45% · Nov 7, 7:51 AM46% · Nov 7, 9:44 AM47% · Nov 7, 10:03 AM47% · Nov 7, 10:51 AM47% · Nov 7, 11:14 AM47% · Nov 7, 11:44 AM46% · Nov 7, 11:45 AM45% · Nov 7, 1:57 PM46% · Nov 7, 3:14 PM47% · Nov 7, 3:14 PM48% · Nov 7, 4:04 PM48% · Nov 7, 4:04 PM48% · Nov 7, 4:07 PM48% · Nov 7, 4:17 PM47% · Nov 7, 6:12 PM47% · Nov 7, 6:43 PM46% · Nov 7, 6:43 PM45% · Nov 7, 6:43 PM45% · Nov 7, 8:53 PM44% · Nov 7, 10:04 PM45% · Nov 7, 10:12 PM46% · Nov 7, 10:24 PM46% · Nov 7, 10:25 PM45% · Nov 8, 12:31 AM45% · Nov 8, 12:53 AM46% · Nov 8, 1:36 AM46% · Nov 8, 1:36 AM46% · Nov 8, 1:57 AM45% · Nov 8, 2:31 AM46% · Nov 8, 2:31 AM46% · Nov 8, 2:31 AM47% · Nov 8, 2:57 AM46% · Nov 8, 5:27 AM46% · Nov 8, 5:40 AM46% · Nov 8, 6:45 AM45% · Nov 8, 7:00 AM46% · Nov 8, 8:38 AM46% · Nov 8, 10:30 AM45% · Nov 8, 2:11 PM45% · Nov 8, 2:31 PM45% · Nov 8, 2:34 PM45% · Nov 8, 4:01 PM45% · Nov 8, 4:05 PM
Nov 6Nov 7Nov 7Nov 8
YES 45%
How the pot stands
Be the first
YES45%55%NO
Pays x2.23Pays x1.81
1,540 points1,900 points
Pot %
It's how much money is on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their money. More in How it works
Context
La pregunta pide una predicción sobre si la Unión Eléctrica reportará una afectación de 2.100 MW o más entre el 7 y el 29 de noviembre de 2026, considerando tanto la cifra pronosticada para el horario pico como la real del día anterior. Según los titulares, la UNE estimó 1.770 MW de afectación en la máxima demanda de este jueves, por debajo del umbral de la pregunta, y el 4 de noviembre había pronosticado 1.920 MW. En La Ponina hay 3.390 puntos en esta pregunta, repartidos entre un 45% que elige SÍ y un 55% que elige NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:34 PM.
YES if from November 7 through November 29, 2026 (Miami time) any daily note of the Unión Eléctrica (UNE) gives a shortfall of 2,100 MW or more, either forecast for the evening peak or the actual one of the day before. It forecast 1,920 MW on November 4 and 1,770 MW on November 5. NO if no note in those days reaches 2,100 MW. Closes Nov 29, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will Cuba's Unión Eléctrica report a shortfall of 2,100 MW or more before November 30?
How it resolves
YES if from November 7 through November 29, 2026 (Miami time) any daily note of the Unión Eléctrica (UNE) gives a shortfall of 2,100 MW or more, either forecast for the evening peak or the actual one of the day before. It forecast 1,920 MW on November 4 and 1,770 MW on November 5. NO if no note in those days reaches 2,100 MW.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Nota diaria de la UNE en cubadebate.cu / perfil oficial de la Unión Eléctrica; confirmation: CiberCuba / Directorio Cubano (resumen diario de apagones)Both sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Nov 29, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 45% of the points are on YES and 55% on NO.
How many people have put points?
40 people have put 3,440 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 15 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on Nov 29, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if from November 7 through November 29, 2026 (Miami time) any daily note of the Unión Eléctrica (UNE) gives a shortfall of 2,100 MW or more, either forecast for the evening peak or the actual one of the day before. It forecast 1,920 MW on November 4 and 1,770 MW on November 5. NO if no note in those days reaches 2,100 MW. Closes Nov 29, 11:59 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.
