yo digo q lo q mueve esto no es la fecha sino si la familia o cubalex confirman rapido o tardan, y a mi parecer eso nadie lo tiene claro ni lo pone en el chat
Will Maykel Osorbo get out of prison before June 2027?
Free, with points. Tap your side.
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» is set free, even conditionally or by leaving the country, confirmed by his family, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders or AP. NO if that date arrives and he is still in prison.
Closes in 204 d 6 h
Say yours: why YES or why NO?
Comments 39
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ay no pero es q si sale condicional o lo dejan salir del pais ya eso cuenta como libertad segun la regla y la gente ni lo esta mirando 😱😱 yo le puse al si tranquila q pa eso falta un monton todavia
mira q esa regla del condicional o saliendo del pais es mas ancha de lo q la gente cree y yo se lo q digo, si la familia lo confirma aunque sea por AP ya el si esta cantao asi q yo le puse lo mio tranquila 💃
ahi lo q yo digo es q el q confirma puede tardar dias y eso es lo q a mi me hace dudar, no lo de la fecha larga. si sale el hombre yo espero callao en la orilla como siempre asere
te lo dije yo desde el principio, esa regla abre puerta grande con lo de condicional o saliendo del pais y aun asi la gente pone poquito, yo creo q la mayoria ni se leyo esa linea completa 😎
La verdad es que lo suyo depende de que la familia o Cubalex lo confirmen rápido, y esas confirmaciones no siempre salen el mismo día. Por eso yo le puse poco al SÍ, mi gente 🌊

A ver, lo importante es que la regla dice bien claro "aunque sea condicional o saliendo del pais", eso abre la puerta mas de lo que uno piensa. Yo le pondria algo, pero poquito, que tres años son muy largos.

con ese 99% y tan pocos puestos yo voy tranquilo a paso lento, q si sale antes de junio eso se reparte entre los pocos q le pusimos y no hay q apurarse
asere 99% y solo 167 puestos eso ta mas flojo q guagua sin gasolina 😂 yo le pongo al si pero poquito q en tres años aqui todo cambia de un dia pa otro
imagínate el cuento es q tres años son un montón y aquí to cambia de un día pa otro, pero yo le puse un chin al sí xq uno siempre espera lo bueno 🙏
yo lo veo asi bro, la gente se tira al si xq es lo q uno quiere pero nadie tiene la bola de cristal pa saber q pasa en tres años, yo por lo menos espero
yo le meto al si pero esa fecha ta muy lejos bro, en tres años puede pasar cualquier cosa a ver q pasa cuando se acerque la fecha
A ver, a ver, con esa fecha tan lejos el porciento todavía puede virarse mil veces, yo no me apuro a poner nada todavía.
Chart
⚙
YES 59%
How the pot stands
More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» quedará en libertad antes del 1 de junio de 2027, sea de forma condicional o saliendo del país, según confirmen su familia, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders o AP; de lo contrario, la predicción se resuelve en contra. La consulta no cuenta con titulares asociados en los datos disponibles, por lo que no hay hechos recientes que detallen su situación actual. En La Ponina se han puesto 4470 puntos, repartidos con un 60% para el SÍ y un 40% para el NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:33 PM.
LiveRight now
- joe2ciudades put 50 points on NO 5 h ago
- MANI_CALIENTE put 50 points on YES 5 h ago
- JL1987 put 50 points on YES 5 h ago
- VEGUERO_PR put 50 points on YES 14 h ago
- 0xcafe1950a put 50 points on NO 16 h ago
- 0x6153e1a put 50 points on YES 18 h ago
- Tampa_Bro2 put 50 points on NO 20 h ago
- ProfeTiza60 put 50 points on NO 23 h ago
- YaimaNails put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
- TIJERA_MIRAMAR put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
- 65portal put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
- VEGUERO_PR put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
- conga_loshoyos put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
- avispero_7 put 50 points on NO 1 d ago
- 0xCABA11E put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
- MANI_CALIENTE put 50 points on YES 1 d ago
- 0xCABA11E put 50 points on YES 2 d ago
- VEGUERO_PR put 50 points on YES 2 d ago
- changuisero put 50 points on YES 2 d ago
- Rosario_Luz72 put 50 points on NO 2 d ago
Nobody has put 50 points or more yet.
Timeline
- Opened
- ClosesNext
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Market rules
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» is set free, even conditionally or by leaving the country, confirmed by his family, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders or AP. NO if that date arrives and he is still in prison. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
- Question
- Will Maykel Osorbo get out of prison before June 2027?
- How it resolves
- YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» is set free, even conditionally or by leaving the country, confirmed by his family, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders or AP. NO if that date arrives and he is still in prison.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
- Sources
- Cubalex y Prisoners Defenders; confirmation: Associated Press / CiberCubaBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
- Close
- May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
- Options
- YES / NO
- If known early
- If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
- If postponed
- If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
- If canceled
- If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 59% of the points are on YES and 41% on NO.
How many people have put points?
42 people have put 4,610 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 39 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» is set free, even conditionally or by leaving the country, confirmed by his family, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders or AP. NO if that date arrives and he is still in prison. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.