Caballeros, un proyecto de ley de ese tamaño no se saca en pocas semanas, y menos con la agenda apretada que suele tener el Congreso colombiano. Yo me inclino por el no, y si me permiten, el tiempo lo dirá.
Open
Does De la Espriella's Rescue Law pass before December 17?
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The story
President Abelardo de la Espriella sent the Economic Rescue Law to Congress on October 29 and on November 3 attached an urgency message, so the economic committees of the Senate and House debate it jointly and with priority.
It has 106 articles of spending cuts and tax changes, including a 20% income-tax rate for 16 years for mega-investments that critics attack; the government warns that without the law there would be a sovereign default, and the IMF backs it. According to Portafolio, Congress has about six weeks before ordinary sessions end on December 16, and even Álvaro Uribe asked his party to review it «calmly».
Sources InfobaePortafolioLa RepúblicaVanguardia
YES if between November 9 and December 16, 2026 (Miami time) Colombia's Congress approves in final debate, and reconciles if needed, the Abelardo de la Espriella government's Economic Rescue Law (Bill 477 of 2026, House), even with changes, per Congress, the Finance Ministry or top-tier press (El Tiempo, Portafolio, La República). NO if it is not approved when ordinary sessions end on December 16, including if it moves to extraordinary sessions.
Closes in 36 d 14 h
Say yours: why YES or why NO?
Comments 3
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bro esa ley tiene demasiado debate por delante y el congreso colombiano se enreda siempre, yo le puse al no xq antes del 16 no la sacan 😅🤷
eso se aprueba compay, con lo q le queda de sesiones se apura y lo sacan antes del 16, yo le puse al si y no me arrepiento 🇨🇺
Chart
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50% · Nov 9, 2:34 AM 29% · Nov 9, 2:36 AM 18% · Nov 9, 2:37 AM 36% · Nov 9, 2:38 AM 50% · Nov 9, 2:39 AM 53% · Nov 9, 2:40 AM 53% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 59% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 50% · Nov 9, 2:43 AM 54% · Nov 9, 2:46 AM 55% · Nov 9, 2:48 AM 55% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 57% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 59% · Nov 9, 2:55 AM 51% · Nov 9, 2:59 AM 51% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 51% · Nov 9, 3:04 AM 46% · Nov 9, 3:08 AM 46% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM 50% · Nov 9, 3:24 AM
YES 50%
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How the pot stands
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Context
La pregunta consulta si el Congreso de Colombia aprobará en su último debate, y conciliará si hace falta, el proyecto de Ley de Rescate Económico del gobierno de Abelardo de la Espriella antes del 17 de diciembre de 2026. La ventana de referencia va del 9 de noviembre al 16 de diciembre de 2026, hora de Miami. No se dispone de titulares que reporten avances o resultados sobre esa aprobación. En La Ponina, la predicción se inclina hacia el SÍ con 59% de los 320 puntos, mientras el NO concentra el 41% restante.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 2:57 AM.
Was this helpful? Yes / No
LiveRight now
- jonronazo68 put 50 points on YES 1 min ago
- Ventanita305 put 50 points on NO 6 min ago
- Yo2Tuercas put 40 points on YES 7 min ago
- changuisero put 50 points on NO 15 min ago
- yuni_bici put 20 points on YES 19 min ago
- titiiii_ put 20 points on NO 22 min ago
- ProfeTiza60 put 50 points on NO 24 min ago
- Chevy57Rojo put 20 points on YES 28 min ago
- Chichiribiri put 10 points on YES 32 min ago
- Tampa_Bro2 put 10 points on YES 35 min ago
- Tampa_Bro2 put 20 points on YES 38 min ago
- PerlaDelSur_MD put 40 points on NO 40 min ago
- TaxiStats2 put 30 points on YES 42 min ago
- kike_rimas4 put 10 points on YES 43 min ago
- Yo2Tuercas put 40 points on YES 44 min ago
- kike_rimas4 put 30 points on YES 45 min ago
- 0x6153e1a put 40 points on NO 46 min ago
- 0xCABA11E put 30 points on NO 47 min ago
- conga_loshoyos put 20 points on YES 49 min ago
- PerlaDelSur_MD put 20 points on NO 49 min ago
Nobody has put points here yet.
Timeline
- Opened
- ClosesNext
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Market rules
YES if between November 9 and December 16, 2026 (Miami time) Colombia's Congress approves in final debate, and reconciles if needed, the Abelardo de la Espriella government's Economic Rescue Law (Bill 477 of 2026, House), even with changes, per Congress, the Finance Ministry or top-tier press (El Tiempo, Portafolio, La República). NO if it is not approved when ordinary sessions end on December 16, including if it moves to extraordinary sessions. Closes Dec 15, 6:00 PM.
- Question
- Does De la Espriella's Rescue Law pass before December 17?
- How it resolves
- YES if between November 9 and December 16, 2026 (Miami time) Colombia's Congress approves in final debate, and reconciles if needed, the Abelardo de la Espriella government's Economic Rescue Law (Bill 477 of 2026, House), even with changes, per Congress, the Finance Ministry or top-tier press (El Tiempo, Portafolio, La República). NO if it is not approved when ordinary sessions end on December 16, including if it moves to extraordinary sessions.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
- Sources
- Congreso de la República de Colombia, Gaceta del Congreso y trámite del proyecto (https://www.camara.gov.co/); confirmation: Ministerio de Hacienda de Colombia, Portafolio, La RepúblicaBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
- Close
- Dec 15, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
- Options
- YES / NO
- If known early
- If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
- If postponed
- If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
- If canceled
- If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 50% of the points are on YES and 50% on NO.
How many people have put points?
16 people have put 600 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 3 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on Dec 15, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if between November 9 and December 16, 2026 (Miami time) Colombia's Congress approves in final debate, and reconciles if needed, the Abelardo de la Espriella government's Economic Rescue Law (Bill 477 of 2026, House), even with changes, per Congress, the Finance Ministry or top-tier press (El Tiempo, Portafolio, La República). NO if it is not approved when ordinary sessions end on December 16, including if it moves to extraordinary sessions. Closes Dec 15, 6:00 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.