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Does De la Espriella's Rescue Law pass before December 17?

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The story

President Abelardo de la Espriella sent the Economic Rescue Law to Congress on October 29 and on November 3 attached an urgency message, so the economic committees of the Senate and House debate it jointly and with priority.

It has 106 articles of spending cuts and tax changes, including a 20% income-tax rate for 16 years for mega-investments that critics attack; the government warns that without the law there would be a sovereign default, and the IMF backs it. According to Portafolio, Congress has about six weeks before ordinary sessions end on December 16, and even Álvaro Uribe asked his party to review it «calmly».

Sources InfobaePortafolioLa RepúblicaVanguardia

YES if between November 9 and December 16, 2026 (Miami time) Colombia's Congress approves in final debate, and reconciles if needed, the Abelardo de la Espriella government's Economic Rescue Law (Bill 477 of 2026, House), even with changes, per Congress, the Finance Ministry or top-tier press (El Tiempo, Portafolio, La República). NO if it is not approved when ordinary sessions end on December 16, including if it moves to extraordinary sessions.

690 points 18 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 36 d 14 h

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51% Yes 49% No

Chart

⚙
1D1W1MAll
50% · Nov 9, 2:34 AM 29% · Nov 9, 2:36 AM 18% · Nov 9, 2:37 AM 36% · Nov 9, 2:38 AM 50% · Nov 9, 2:39 AM 53% · Nov 9, 2:40 AM 53% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 59% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 50% · Nov 9, 2:43 AM 54% · Nov 9, 2:46 AM 55% · Nov 9, 2:48 AM 55% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 57% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 59% · Nov 9, 2:55 AM 51% · Nov 9, 2:59 AM 51% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 51% · Nov 9, 3:04 AM 46% · Nov 9, 3:08 AM 46% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM 50% · Nov 9, 3:16 AM 46% · Nov 9, 3:17 AM 46% · Nov 9, 3:21 AM 50% · Nov 9, 3:22 AM 54% · Nov 9, 3:26 AM 51% · Nov 9, 3:29 AM 51% · Nov 9, 3:31 AM 51% · Nov 9, 3:35 AM

YES 51%

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How the pot stands

YES 51% 49% NO
Pays x1.97 Pays x2.02
350 points340 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta consulta si el Congreso de Colombia aprobará en su último debate, y conciliará si hace falta, el proyecto de Ley de Rescate Económico del gobierno de Abelardo de la Espriella antes del 17 de diciembre de 2026. La ventana de referencia va del 9 de noviembre al 16 de diciembre de 2026, hora de Miami. No se dispone de titulares que reporten avances o resultados sobre esa aprobación. En La Ponina, la predicción se inclina hacia el SÍ con 59% de los 320 puntos, mientras el NO concentra el 41% restante.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 2:57 AM.

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LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. Mami_Yaque_Tampa put 50 points on YES 9 min ago
  2. jonronazo68 put 50 points on YES 13 min ago
  3. Ventanita305 put 50 points on NO 18 min ago
  4. changuisero put 50 points on NO 26 min ago
  5. ProfeTiza60 put 50 points on NO 36 min ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

 YES if between November 9 and December 16, 2026 (Miami time) Colombia's Congress approves in final debate, and reconciles if needed, the Abelardo de la Espriella government's Economic Rescue Law (Bill 477 of 2026, House), even with changes, per Congress, the Finance Ministry or top-tier press (El Tiempo, Portafolio, La República). NO if it is not approved when ordinary sessions end on December 16, including if it moves to extraordinary sessions. Closes Dec 15, 6:00 PM.
Question
Does De la Espriella's Rescue Law pass before December 17?
How it resolves
YES if between November 9 and December 16, 2026 (Miami time) Colombia's Congress approves in final debate, and reconciles if needed, the Abelardo de la Espriella government's Economic Rescue Law (Bill 477 of 2026, House), even with changes, per Congress, the Finance Ministry or top-tier press (El Tiempo, Portafolio, La República). NO if it is not approved when ordinary sessions end on December 16, including if it moves to extraordinary sessions.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Congreso de la República de Colombia, Gaceta del Congreso y trámite del proyecto (https://www.camara.gov.co/); confirmation: Ministerio de Hacienda de Colombia, Portafolio, La RepúblicaBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Dec 15, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 51% of the points are on YES and 49% on NO.

How many people have put points?

18 people have put 690 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 3 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Dec 15, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if between November 9 and December 16, 2026 (Miami time) Colombia's Congress approves in final debate, and reconciles if needed, the Abelardo de la Espriella government's Economic Rescue Law (Bill 477 of 2026, House), even with changes, per Congress, the Finance Ministry or top-tier press (El Tiempo, Portafolio, La República). NO if it is not approved when ordinary sessions end on December 16, including if it moves to extraordinary sessions. Closes Dec 15, 6:00 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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