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Does Nayib Bukele travel to Haiti before December 31?
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Does Nayib Bukele travel to Haiti before December 31?

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The story

Nayib Bukele, presidente de El Salvador.

Tropas salvadoreñas avanzan contra pandillas en Haití con el visto bueno de Trump, según NTN24 del 8 de noviembre. Ciudadanos haitianos se manifestaron en apoyo a Bukele. Se mide hasta el 30 de diciembre de 2026, hora de Miami. Se resuelve con la fuente pública indicada en la regla.

YES if between November 10 and December 30, 2026 Nayib Bukele sets foot in Haiti in person, according to El Salvador's government or top-tier press. NO if he does not travel to Haiti in that period. Resolves from El Salvador's government and top-tier press (Miami time).

740 points 21 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 1 d 13 h

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49% Yes 51% No

Chart

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1D1W1MAll
33% · Nov 8, 5:45 PM 25% · Nov 8, 5:46 PM 40% · Nov 8, 5:47 PM 22% · Nov 8, 5:48 PM 36% · Nov 8, 5:50 PM 36% · Nov 8, 5:51 PM 53% · Nov 8, 5:51 PM 63% · Nov 8, 5:52 PM 67% · Nov 8, 5:53 PM 68% · Nov 8, 5:56 PM 56% · Nov 8, 5:59 PM 56% · Nov 8, 6:01 PM 59% · Nov 8, 6:02 PM 60% · Nov 8, 6:02 PM 55% · Nov 8, 6:09 PM 55% · Nov 8, 6:11 PM 60% · Nov 8, 6:13 PM 58% · Nov 8, 6:16 PM 58% · Nov 8, 6:21 PM 60% · Nov 8, 6:22 PM 56% · Nov 8, 6:27 PM 56% · Nov 8, 6:31 PM 50% · Nov 8, 6:32 PM 54% · Nov 8, 6:38 PM 54% · Nov 8, 6:41 PM 56% · Nov 8, 6:41 PM 56% · Nov 8, 6:51 PM 56% · Nov 8, 7:01 PM 56% · Nov 8, 7:11 PM 53% · Nov 8, 7:20 PM 53% · Nov 8, 7:21 PM 49% · Nov 8, 7:23 PM 49% · Nov 8, 7:31 PM 49% · Nov 8, 7:41 PM 49% · Nov 8, 7:51 PM 49% · Nov 8, 8:01 PM 48% · Nov 8, 8:10 PM 48% · Nov 8, 8:11 PM 48% · Nov 8, 8:21 PM 51% · Nov 8, 8:29 PM 51% · Nov 8, 8:31 PM 52% · Nov 8, 8:31 PM 52% · Nov 8, 8:41 PM 52% · Nov 8, 8:51 PM 52% · Nov 8, 9:01 PM 52% · Nov 8, 9:11 PM 52% · Nov 8, 9:21 PM 52% · Nov 8, 9:31 PM 52% · Nov 8, 9:41 PM 52% · Nov 8, 9:51 PM 52% · Nov 8, 10:01 PM 52% · Nov 8, 10:11 PM 52% · Nov 8, 10:21 PM 52% · Nov 8, 10:31 PM 52% · Nov 8, 10:41 PM 52% · Nov 8, 10:51 PM 52% · Nov 8, 11:01 PM 52% · Nov 8, 11:11 PM 52% · Nov 8, 11:21 PM 52% · Nov 8, 11:31 PM 52% · Nov 8, 11:41 PM 52% · Nov 8, 11:51 PM 52% · Nov 9, 12:01 AM 49% · Nov 9, 12:04 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:04 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:11 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:21 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:31 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:41 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:51 AM 48% · Nov 9, 1:01 AM 48% · Nov 9, 1:11 AM 48% · Nov 9, 1:21 AM 48% · Nov 9, 1:31 AM 48% · Nov 9, 1:41 AM 48% · Nov 9, 1:51 AM 48% · Nov 9, 2:01 AM 48% · Nov 9, 2:11 AM 48% · Nov 9, 2:21 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:26 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:31 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:21 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:31 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:41 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:51 AM 49% · Nov 9, 4:01 AM 49% · Nov 9, 4:11 AM 49% · Nov 9, 4:13 AM

YES 49%

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How the pot stands

YES 49% 51% NO
Pays x2.05 Pays x1.94
360 points380 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si Nayib Bukele visitará Haití antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026, con cierre el 10 de noviembre de ese año. Para resolverse se toma como referencia al gobierno de El Salvador y a la prensa de primer nivel, considerando la hora de Miami. Hasta ahora no hay titulares que reporten un viaje de ese tipo. En La Ponina la predicción reparte 190 puntos, con un 63% inclinado por el SÍ y un 37% por el NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 5:53 PM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. Yo2Tuercas put 10 points on YES 1 h ago
  2. CerroBaila_39 put 10 points on NO 4 h ago
  3. ProfeTiza60 put 40 points on NO 4 h ago
  4. jonronazo68 put 10 points on YES 7 h ago
  5. kike_rimas4 put 40 points on YES 7 h ago
  6. NovelaYCafe put 20 points on NO 8 h ago
  7. anzuelito put 40 points on NO 8 h ago
  8. JL1987 put 30 points on NO 8 h ago
  9. anita_cujae put 20 points on YES 9 h ago
  10. yuni_bici put 40 points on YES 9 h ago
  11. Yane_Flow put 50 points on NO 9 h ago
  12. jefadelacuadra48 put 30 points on NO 9 h ago
  13. mijoBici put 20 points on YES 9 h ago
  14. Yayabo_Fina put 10 points on NO 9 h ago
  15. TaxiStats2 put 40 points on YES 10 h ago
  16. jefadelacuadra48 put 30 points on NO 10 h ago
  17. Yo2Tuercas put 10 points on YES 10 h ago
  18. conga_loshoyos put 20 points on YES 10 h ago
  19. CerroBaila_39 put 50 points on NO 10 h ago
  20. conga_loshoyos put 10 points on YES 10 h ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext
  3. The event

Market rules

 YES if between November 10 and December 30, 2026 Nayib Bukele sets foot in Haiti in person, according to El Salvador's government or top-tier press. NO if he does not travel to Haiti in that period. Resolves from El Salvador's government and top-tier press (Miami time). Closes Nov 10, 6:00 PM.
Question
Does Nayib Bukele travel to Haiti before December 31?
How it resolves
YES if between November 10 and December 30, 2026 Nayib Bukele sets foot in Haiti in person, according to El Salvador's government or top-tier press. NO if he does not travel to Haiti in that period. Resolves from El Salvador's government and top-tier press (Miami time).The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Presidencia de El Salvador, comunicados; confirmation: Infobae / EFE, coberturaBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Nov 10, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
Event
Dec 30, 11:59 PM (Cuba time)
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 49% of the points are on YES and 51% on NO.

How many people have put points?

21 people have put 740 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 5 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Nov 10, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if between November 10 and December 30, 2026 Nayib Bukele sets foot in Haiti in person, according to El Salvador's government or top-tier press. NO if he does not travel to Haiti in that period. Resolves from El Salvador's government and top-tier press (Miami time). Closes Nov 10, 6:00 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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