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Will the US announce new Cuba sanctions before November 20?

The story

Estados Unidos sancionó el 5 de noviembre a dos personas, seis empresas y dos barcos, según Periódico Cubano, entre ellos un hermano de López-Calleja y la hija de la presidenta de GAESA, según ADN Cuba.

CiberCuba añade que la lista incluye redes petroleras del régimen y empresas chinas, y Diario Las Américas habla de compañías en China y Panamá. Cuba condenó las medidas, según teleSUR. Las sanciones del 5 de noviembre no cuentan; falta ver si llega una nueva ronda antes del 20.

Sources Periódico CubanoCiberCubaDiario Las Américas

Summary

What is being said about this ponina, in a few lines, taken from what was published.

  • EEUU anuncia sanciones contra empresas del sector petrolero y electrónico en Cuba. NewsLa Prensa - Noticias de Nicaragua y el mundo
  • Marco Rubio anuncia nuevas sanciones de EE. UU. contra Cuba. NewsEl Independiente
  • EE.UU. anuncia sanciones contra dos empresas chinas por presuntos suministros militares a Cuba. NewsDiarioBitcoin
  • Las sanciones del 5 de noviembre no cuentan; falta ver si llega una nueva ronda antes del 20. The story

YES if from November 6 through November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the US Treasury (OFAC) or the State Department publishes a new sanction on a person, company or ship for ties to the Cuban government or GAESA. The November 5 sanctions do not count. NO if November 20 arrives with none.

4,410 points 42 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 11 d 7 h

Why it matters

Who
Estados Unidos
What
Estados Unidos sancionó el 5 de noviembre a dos personas, seis empresas y dos barcos, según Periódico Cubano, entre ellos un hermano de López-Calleja y la hija de la…
When
Se decide antes del 19 de noviembre (hora de Miami).
How it is decided
SÍ si entre el 6 y el 19 de noviembre de 2026 (hora de Cuba) el Departamento del Tesoro (OFAC) o el Departamento de Estado de EE. UU. publica una nueva sanción contra…
Why you should care
EE.UU. sancionó a la gente y a las redes del régimen: ¿llega una nueva ronda de sanciones antes del 20 de noviembre?

Say yours: why YES or why NO?

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?
50% Yes 50% No

Chart

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38% · Nov 6, 2:08 AM 44% · Nov 6, 2:09 AM 55% · Nov 6, 2:09 AM 69% · Nov 6, 2:16 AM 52% · Nov 6, 2:51 AM 63% · Nov 6, 2:52 AM 64% · Nov 6, 2:52 AM 55% · Nov 6, 2:59 AM 47% · Nov 6, 3:18 AM 50% · Nov 6, 3:37 AM 44% · Nov 6, 4:08 AM 48% · Nov 6, 4:26 AM 45% · Nov 6, 4:30 AM 44% · Nov 6, 4:30 AM 43% · Nov 6, 4:30 AM 46% · Nov 6, 4:57 AM 48% · Nov 6, 5:03 AM 46% · Nov 6, 5:19 AM 47% · Nov 6, 5:21 AM 45% · Nov 6, 5:22 AM 45% · Nov 6, 5:22 AM 49% · Nov 6, 5:44 AM 52% · Nov 6, 5:59 AM 49% · Nov 6, 6:30 AM 52% · Nov 6, 6:37 AM 50% · Nov 6, 6:40 AM 48% · Nov 6, 6:41 AM 50% · Nov 6, 8:15 AM 53% · Nov 6, 8:45 AM 51% · Nov 6, 9:26 AM 50% · Nov 6, 9:44 AM 51% · Nov 6, 10:03 AM 51% · Nov 6, 10:18 AM 50% · Nov 6, 10:24 AM 51% · Nov 6, 10:25 AM 49% · Nov 6, 10:52 AM 51% · Nov 6, 11:16 AM 49% · Nov 6, 11:16 AM 49% · Nov 6, 11:50 AM 51% · Nov 6, 11:59 AM 53% · Nov 6, 11:59 AM 54% · Nov 6, 12:43 PM 53% · Nov 6, 12:43 PM 53% · Nov 6, 1:01 PM 54% · Nov 6, 1:17 PM 53% · Nov 6, 1:18 PM 52% · Nov 6, 1:18 PM 51% · Nov 6, 1:18 PM 49% · Nov 6, 1:19 PM 48% · Nov 6, 1:46 PM 47% · Nov 6, 2:16 PM 46% · Nov 6, 2:28 PM 47% · Nov 6, 2:28 PM 47% · Nov 6, 2:28 PM 46% · Nov 6, 3:32 PM 46% · Nov 6, 3:46 PM 47% · Nov 6, 3:46 PM 47% · Nov 6, 4:12 PM 46% · Nov 6, 4:24 PM 47% · Nov 6, 4:44 PM 48% · Nov 6, 4:46 PM 48% · Nov 6, 5:18 PM 49% · Nov 6, 5:19 PM 49% · Nov 6, 6:07 PM 50% · Nov 6, 6:08 PM 51% · Nov 6, 6:58 PM 50% · Nov 6, 6:59 PM 49% · Nov 6, 6:59 PM 49% · Nov 6, 6:59 PM 48% · Nov 6, 7:28 PM 49% · Nov 6, 7:53 PM 48% · Nov 6, 8:57 PM 47% · Nov 6, 8:57 PM 47% · Nov 6, 9:35 PM 48% · Nov 6, 10:30 PM 48% · Nov 7, 12:27 AM 48% · Nov 7, 1:00 AM 48% · Nov 7, 1:27 AM 48% · Nov 7, 1:41 AM 49% · Nov 7, 3:14 AM 50% · Nov 7, 4:01 AM 50% · Nov 7, 4:30 AM 51% · Nov 7, 4:36 AM 51% · Nov 7, 6:35 AM 51% · Nov 7, 7:04 AM 50% · Nov 7, 7:37 AM 49% · Nov 7, 8:03 AM 49% · Nov 7, 10:00 AM 48% · Nov 7, 10:00 AM 47% · Nov 7, 10:00 AM 48% · Nov 7, 10:03 AM 49% · Nov 7, 10:04 AM 49% · Nov 7, 10:33 AM 50% · Nov 7, 10:55 AM 51% · Nov 7, 11:10 AM 51% · Nov 7, 12:15 PM 51% · Nov 7, 1:34 PM 52% · Nov 7, 1:52 PM 51% · Nov 7, 1:52 PM 52% · Nov 7, 3:09 PM 51% · Nov 7, 3:37 PM 51% · Nov 7, 6:35 PM 50% · Nov 7, 6:44 PM 50% · Nov 7, 9:37 PM 50% · Nov 7, 10:22 PM 49% · Nov 7, 10:22 PM 49% · Nov 7, 10:43 PM 49% · Nov 7, 11:08 PM 50% · Nov 7, 11:21 PM 50% · Nov 7, 11:35 PM 49% · Nov 7, 11:38 PM 50% · Nov 8, 1:00 AM 50% · Nov 8, 1:18 AM 50% · Nov 8, 2:30 AM 50% · Nov 8, 3:45 AM 51% · Nov 8, 3:45 AM 50% · Nov 8, 4:41 AM 50% · Nov 8, 5:01 AM 50% · Nov 8, 5:12 AM 50% · Nov 8, 6:14 AM 50% · Nov 8, 6:50 AM 50% · Nov 8, 7:15 AM 50% · Nov 8, 7:51 AM 49% · Nov 8, 7:57 AM 49% · Nov 8, 8:20 AM 50% · Nov 8, 8:20 AM 50% · Nov 8, 8:59 AM 49% · Nov 8, 9:18 AM 49% · Nov 8, 10:17 AM 48% · Nov 8, 11:25 AM 49% · Nov 8, 11:26 AM 49% · Nov 8, 11:39 AM 49% · Nov 8, 12:12 PM 50% · Nov 8, 12:13 PM 49% · Nov 8, 12:22 PM 49% · Nov 8, 12:28 PM 50% · Nov 8, 1:16 PM 50% · Nov 8, 2:36 PM 50% · Nov 8, 4:01 PM 50% · Nov 8, 4:07 PM

YES 50%

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How the pot stands

YES 50% 50% NO
Pays x2.00 Pays x1.99
2,200 points2,210 points
Pot %

Context

El Departamento del Tesoro o el Departamento de Estado de EE. UU. anunciarían una nueva sanción contra personas, empresas o barcos vinculados al gobierno cubano o a GAESA entre el 6 y el 19 de noviembre de 2026. Los titulares reportan anuncios de sanciones contra empresas de los sectores petrolero, electrónico y tecnológico, dos empresas chinas por presuntos suministros militares, dos personas, seis empresas y dos buques, atribuidos a Marco Rubio. La pregunta cierra el 20 de noviembre y las sanciones del 5 de noviembre no cuentan para el SÍ. En La Ponina hay 4390 puntos puestos, repartidos 50% para SÍ y 50% para NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:34 PM.

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Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

YES if from November 6 through November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the US Treasury (OFAC) or the State Department publishes a new sanction on a person, company or ship for ties to the Cuban government or GAESA. The November 5 sanctions do not count. NO if November 20 arrives with none. Closes Nov 19, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will the US announce new Cuba sanctions before November 20?
How it resolves
YES if from November 6 through November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the US Treasury (OFAC) or the State Department publishes a new sanction on a person, company or ship for ties to the Cuban government or GAESA. The November 5 sanctions do not count. NO if November 20 arrives with none.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
home.treasury.gov (comunicados de OFAC) / state.gov; confirmation: Martí Noticias / CiberCubaBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Nov 19, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 50% of the points are on YES and 50% on NO.

How many people have put points?

42 people have put 4,410 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 15 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Nov 19, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if from November 6 through November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the US Treasury (OFAC) or the State Department publishes a new sanction on a person, company or ship for ties to the Cuban government or GAESA. The November 5 sanctions do not count. NO if November 20 arrives with none. Closes Nov 19, 11:59 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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