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Will the fifth US humanitarian aid flight to the Archdiocese of Havana arrive before November 30?

Yes 49% No 51%

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The story

El cuarto vuelo de ayuda humanitaria de Estados Unidos para la Arquidiócesis de La Habana llegó el 5 de noviembre, según CiberCuba, y Cuba en Miami habló del alivio para las familias de Güines.

Camagüey recibió un segundo envío con 700 kits de alimentos y 700 de higiene, según CiberCuba. Cáritas Cuba es la encargada de repartir la ayuda desde que llegó el primer envío en julio, según La Jornada. Falta ver si llega el quinto vuelo antes del 30 de noviembre.

Sources CiberCubaCuba en MiamiLa Jornada

YES if before November 30, 2026 (Cuba time) the fifth US humanitarian aid flight for the Archdiocese of Havana arrives in Cuba (the fourth arrived November 5), confirmed by the US Embassy in Havana, Cáritas Cuba or a news outlet. NO if that date arrives without the fifth flight.

5,500 points 43 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 21 d 9 h

Why it matters

Who
Llega · Estados Unidos · Arquidiócesis de La Habana
What
El cuarto vuelo de ayuda humanitaria de Estados Unidos para la Arquidiócesis de La Habana llegó el 5 de noviembre, según CiberCuba, y Cuba en Miami habló del alivio…
When
Se decide antes del 29 de noviembre (hora de Miami).
How it is decided
SÍ si antes del 30 de noviembre de 2026 (hora de Cuba) llega a Cuba el quinto vuelo de ayuda humanitaria de EE. UU. para la Arquidiócesis de La Habana (el cuarto llegó…
Why you should care
La ayuda humanitaria llega a familias cubanas vía Cáritas: ¿llega el quinto vuelo antes del 30 de noviembre?

Say yours: why YES or why NO?

Comments 26

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?
49% Yes 51% No

Chart

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YES 49%

The latest on this

  1. La Arquidiócesis de Camagüey recibe el segundo envío de ayuda humanitaria de EE UU Per 14ymedio Save
  2. La Arquidiócesis cubana de Camagüey recibe segundo envío de ayuda humanitaria de EEUU Per Google Noticias Save
  3. Cuba: Arquidiócesis de Camagüey recibe segundo envío de ayuda de EE UU Per 14ymedio Save
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How the pot stands

YES 49% 51% NO
Pays x2.03 Pays x1.96
2,700 points2,800 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta indaga si el quinto vuelo de ayuda humanitaria de EE. UU. para la Arquidiócesis de La Habana llega a Cuba antes del 30 de noviembre de 2026. Según los titulares, el cuarto vuelo ya llegó y la Arquidiócesis de Camagüey recibió su segundo envío. En La Ponina, la predicción reparte 5500 puntos: 49% por el SÍ y 51% por el NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:34 PM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. YaimaNails put 40 points on YES 1 h ago
  2. daylinnn put 10 points on YES 1 h ago
  3. jonronazo68 put 50 points on NO 2 h ago
  4. RUMBACENTRO put 50 points on NO 3 h ago
  5. YANISTYLE92 put 30 points on YES 4 h ago
  6. 0xcafe1950a put 10 points on NO 5 h ago
  7. 0xCABA11E put 10 points on NO 6 h ago
  8. Rosario_Luz72 put 40 points on NO 6 h ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

 YES if before November 30, 2026 (Cuba time) the fifth US humanitarian aid flight for the Archdiocese of Havana arrives in Cuba (the fourth arrived November 5), confirmed by the US Embassy in Havana, Cáritas Cuba or a news outlet. NO if that date arrives without the fifth flight. Closes Nov 29, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will the fifth US humanitarian aid flight to the Archdiocese of Havana arrive before November 30?
How it resolves
YES if before November 30, 2026 (Cuba time) the fifth US humanitarian aid flight for the Archdiocese of Havana arrives in Cuba (the fourth arrived November 5), confirmed by the US Embassy in Havana, Cáritas Cuba or a news outlet. NO if that date arrives without the fifth flight.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Embajada de EE. UU. en La Habana (redes oficiales); confirmation: CiberCuba / Martí NoticiasBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Nov 29, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 49% of the points are on YES and 51% on NO.

How many people have put points?

43 people have put 5,500 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 26 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Nov 29, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if before November 30, 2026 (Cuba time) the fifth US humanitarian aid flight for the Archdiocese of Havana arrives in Cuba (the fourth arrived November 5), confirmed by the US Embassy in Havana, Cáritas Cuba or a news outlet. NO if that date arrives without the fifth flight. Closes Nov 29, 11:59 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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