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Does Maykel Osorbo leave Cuba before January 1, 2027?
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Does Maykel Osorbo leave Cuba before January 1, 2027?

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The story

EE.

UU. le dio parole humanitario en julio y sigue en prisión.

YES if, before January 1, 2027, reliable outlets or his circle confirm that Maykel Osorbo (Maykel Castillo) left prison and traveled out of Cuba. NO if he is still in Cuba on that date. Resolves with reports from CiberCuba, Cubanet, Diario de Cuba or official U.S. statements (Miami time).

890 points 25 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 36 d 15 h

Say yours: why YES or why NO?

Comments 5

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?
51% Yes 49% No

Chart

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1D1W1MAll
40% · Nov 8, 9:17 PM 29% · Nov 8, 9:18 PM 20% · Nov 8, 9:19 PM 43% · Nov 8, 9:20 PM 43% · Nov 8, 9:21 PM 38% · Nov 8, 9:21 PM 44% · Nov 8, 9:22 PM 35% · Nov 8, 9:24 PM 29% · Nov 8, 9:25 PM 39% · Nov 8, 9:28 PM 43% · Nov 8, 9:31 PM 43% · Nov 8, 9:31 PM 39% · Nov 8, 9:33 PM 40% · Nov 8, 9:37 PM 36% · Nov 8, 9:40 PM 36% · Nov 8, 9:41 PM 33% · Nov 8, 9:44 PM 39% · Nov 8, 9:49 PM 39% · Nov 8, 9:51 PM 44% · Nov 8, 9:53 PM 41% · Nov 8, 9:55 PM 41% · Nov 8, 10:01 PM 46% · Nov 8, 10:01 PM 48% · Nov 8, 10:09 PM 45% · Nov 8, 10:10 PM 45% · Nov 8, 10:11 PM 45% · Nov 8, 10:21 PM 48% · Nov 8, 10:27 PM 48% · Nov 8, 10:31 PM 48% · Nov 8, 10:41 PM 48% · Nov 8, 10:51 PM 48% · Nov 8, 10:54 PM 48% · Nov 8, 11:01 PM 48% · Nov 8, 11:11 PM 48% · Nov 8, 11:21 PM 48% · Nov 8, 11:31 PM 48% · Nov 8, 11:41 PM 48% · Nov 8, 11:51 PM 48% · Nov 9, 12:01 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:11 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:21 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:21 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:31 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:41 AM 48% · Nov 9, 12:51 AM 49% · Nov 9, 12:51 AM 49% · Nov 9, 1:01 AM 49% · Nov 9, 1:11 AM 49% · Nov 9, 1:21 AM 49% · Nov 9, 1:31 AM 49% · Nov 9, 1:41 AM 49% · Nov 9, 1:51 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:01 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:11 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:21 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:31 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 49% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM 49% · Nov 9, 3:21 AM 48% · Nov 9, 3:28 AM 48% · Nov 9, 3:31 AM 48% · Nov 9, 3:41 AM 48% · Nov 9, 3:51 AM 51% · Nov 9, 4:03 AM

YES 51%

What people are saying

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How the pot stands

YES 51% 49% NO
Pays x1.97 Pays x2.02
450 points440 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si Maykel Osorbo (Maykel Castillo) saldrá de Cuba antes del 1 de enero de 2027, tras confirmarse su salida de prisión y viaje al exterior por medios confiables o su entorno. No se han proporcionado titulares que documenten hechos recientes sobre su situación. En La Ponina, esta predicción acumula 610 puntos, con un reparto del 41% a favor del SÍ y un 59% a favor del NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 9:58 PM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. 0x6153e1a put 40 points on YES 8 min ago
  2. carretadebueyes put 20 points on NO 34 min ago
  3. anita_cujae put 20 points on YES 3 h ago
  4. lazaro1717 put 10 points on YES 3 h ago
  5. VEGUERO_PR put 10 points on NO 5 h ago
  6. kike_rimas4 put 50 points on YES 5 h ago
  7. jefadelacuadra48 put 50 points on NO 5 h ago
  8. MANI_CALIENTE put 30 points on YES 5 h ago
  9. conga_loshoyos put 50 points on YES 6 h ago
  10. 65portal put 40 points on NO 6 h ago
  11. changuisero put 50 points on YES 6 h ago
  12. TaxiStats2 put 40 points on YES 6 h ago
  13. JL1987 put 30 points on NO 6 h ago
  14. VEGUERO_PR put 50 points on NO 6 h ago
  15. TIJERA_MIRAMAR put 10 points on YES 6 h ago
  16. daylinnn put 40 points on NO 6 h ago
  17. mijoBici put 20 points on YES 6 h ago
  18. YaimaNails put 50 points on YES 6 h ago
  19. Yayabo_Fina put 50 points on NO 6 h ago
  20. CasinoMarianao put 50 points on NO 6 h ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

 YES if, before January 1, 2027, reliable outlets or his circle confirm that Maykel Osorbo (Maykel Castillo) left prison and traveled out of Cuba. NO if he is still in Cuba on that date. Resolves with reports from CiberCuba, Cubanet, Diario de Cuba or official U.S. statements (Miami time). Closes Dec 15, 8:00 PM.
Question
Does Maykel Osorbo leave Cuba before January 1, 2027?
How it resolves
YES if, before January 1, 2027, reliable outlets or his circle confirm that Maykel Osorbo (Maykel Castillo) left prison and traveled out of Cuba. NO if he is still in Cuba on that date. Resolves with reports from CiberCuba, Cubanet, Diario de Cuba or official U.S. statements (Miami time).The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
CubaHeadlines, etiqueta Maykel Osorbo: parole humanitario el 21 de julio de 2026 (https://www.cubaheadlines.com/tags/maykel-osorbo); confirmation: Diario Las Américas, la CIDH pide anular su condena (https://www.diariolasamericas.com/maykel-osorbo-castillo-a13401)Both sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Dec 15, 8:00 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 51% of the points are on YES and 49% on NO.

How many people have put points?

25 people have put 890 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 5 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Dec 15, 8:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if, before January 1, 2027, reliable outlets or his circle confirm that Maykel Osorbo (Maykel Castillo) left prison and traveled out of Cuba. NO if he is still in Cuba on that date. Resolves with reports from CiberCuba, Cubanet, Diario de Cuba or official U.S. statements (Miami time). Closes Dec 15, 8:00 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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