YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» is set free, even conditionally or by leaving the country, confirmed by his family, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders or AP. NO if that date arrives and he is still in prison.
17% · Nov 6, 2:33 AM11% · Nov 6, 2:45 AM39% · Nov 6, 2:51 AM53% · Nov 6, 3:03 AM47% · Nov 6, 3:04 AM39% · Nov 6, 3:23 AM32% · Nov 6, 3:31 AM27% · Nov 6, 3:42 AM24% · Nov 6, 3:44 AM32% · Nov 6, 4:19 AM38% · Nov 6, 4:39 AM47% · Nov 6, 4:39 AM44% · Nov 6, 4:41 AM48% · Nov 6, 4:42 AM45% · Nov 6, 4:48 AM44% · Nov 6, 5:03 AM42% · Nov 6, 5:11 AM44% · Nov 6, 5:17 AM42% · Nov 6, 5:24 AM41% · Nov 6, 5:29 AM40% · Nov 6, 5:34 AM41% · Nov 6, 5:54 AM44% · Nov 6, 5:54 AM43% · Nov 6, 6:10 AM45% · Nov 6, 6:47 AM46% · Nov 6, 6:49 AM47% · Nov 6, 7:24 AM45% · Nov 6, 7:26 AM44% · Nov 6, 7:35 AM43% · Nov 6, 8:31 AM46% · Nov 6, 8:48 AM47% · Nov 6, 9:19 AM46% · Nov 6, 9:48 AM48% · Nov 6, 10:01 AM48% · Nov 6, 10:08 AM47% · Nov 6, 10:25 AM46% · Nov 6, 10:25 AM48% · Nov 6, 10:37 AM47% · Nov 6, 10:49 AM48% · Nov 6, 11:42 AM50% · Nov 6, 11:47 AM49% · Nov 6, 12:27 PM48% · Nov 6, 12:51 PM48% · Nov 6, 1:00 PM49% · Nov 6, 1:06 PM51% · Nov 6, 1:19 PM50% · Nov 6, 1:27 PM51% · Nov 6, 1:27 PM52% · Nov 6, 1:28 PM52% · Nov 6, 3:22 PM53% · Nov 6, 3:22 PM52% · Nov 6, 3:57 PM53% · Nov 6, 3:59 PM53% · Nov 6, 4:49 PM54% · Nov 6, 4:55 PM54% · Nov 6, 5:15 PM55% · Nov 6, 5:45 PM55% · Nov 6, 6:26 PM56% · Nov 6, 6:36 PM56% · Nov 6, 7:51 PM57% · Nov 6, 7:52 PM56% · Nov 6, 7:52 PM56% · Nov 6, 8:18 PM56% · Nov 6, 8:25 PM55% · Nov 6, 8:49 PM55% · Nov 6, 9:25 PM54% · Nov 6, 9:26 PM55% · Nov 6, 9:27 PM56% · Nov 6, 9:27 PM55% · Nov 6, 9:47 PM55% · Nov 6, 10:09 PM55% · Nov 6, 10:12 PM54% · Nov 6, 10:29 PM55% · Nov 6, 11:04 PM55% · Nov 6, 11:47 PM55% · Nov 6, 11:52 PM55% · Nov 7, 12:17 AM56% · Nov 7, 12:23 AM57% · Nov 7, 1:50 AM56% · Nov 7, 1:53 AM57% · Nov 7, 2:19 AM58% · Nov 7, 2:19 AM58% · Nov 7, 2:19 AM58% · Nov 7, 3:16 AM59% · Nov 7, 3:43 AM59% · Nov 7, 4:49 AM58% · Nov 7, 4:50 AM58% · Nov 7, 6:37 AM59% · Nov 7, 8:19 AM59% · Nov 7, 9:18 AM58% · Nov 7, 9:18 AM59% · Nov 7, 9:18 AM59% · Nov 7, 9:49 AM59% · Nov 7, 10:28 AM59% · Nov 7, 10:33 AM59% · Nov 7, 10:33 AM59% · Nov 7, 11:14 AM60% · Nov 7, 11:15 AM60% · Nov 7, 11:15 AM61% · Nov 7, 11:48 AM61% · Nov 7, 11:59 AM61% · Nov 7, 12:28 PM60% · Nov 7, 12:45 PM60% · Nov 7, 1:58 PM60% · Nov 7, 2:56 PM61% · Nov 7, 3:31 PM60% · Nov 7, 3:46 PM59% · Nov 7, 3:47 PM60% · Nov 7, 3:47 PM60% · Nov 7, 3:47 PM60% · Nov 7, 4:09 PM60% · Nov 7, 4:33 PM60% · Nov 7, 6:42 PM59% · Nov 7, 7:21 PM58% · Nov 7, 7:55 PM58% · Nov 7, 8:08 PM58% · Nov 7, 9:07 PM58% · Nov 7, 10:13 PM58% · Nov 7, 10:13 PM59% · Nov 7, 11:36 PM59% · Nov 7, 11:46 PM58% · Nov 8, 12:06 AM58% · Nov 8, 12:06 AM58% · Nov 8, 12:07 AM58% · Nov 8, 1:57 AM58% · Nov 8, 2:18 AM58% · Nov 8, 2:19 AM59% · Nov 8, 2:19 AM59% · Nov 8, 3:28 AM59% · Nov 8, 4:32 AM59% · Nov 8, 4:55 AM59% · Nov 8, 7:10 AM60% · Nov 8, 7:58 AM60% · Nov 8, 8:05 AM59% · Nov 8, 8:33 AM59% · Nov 8, 9:09 AM60% · Nov 8, 9:13 AM60% · Nov 8, 9:16 AM59% · Nov 8, 10:34 AM60% · Nov 8, 10:34 AM60% · Nov 8, 10:34 AM60% · Nov 8, 10:35 AM60% · Nov 8, 10:52 AM61% · Nov 8, 10:52 AM60% · Nov 8, 10:53 AM60% · Nov 8, 1:09 PM60% · Nov 8, 2:41 PM60% · Nov 8, 2:55 PM
Nov 6Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8
YES 60%
How the pot stands
Be the first
YES60%40%NO
Pays x1.66Pays x2.49
2,690 points1,800 points
Pot %
It's how much money is on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their money. More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» quedará en libertad antes del 1 de junio de 2027, sea de forma condicional o saliendo del país, según confirmen su familia, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders o AP; de lo contrario, la predicción se resuelve en contra. La consulta no cuenta con titulares asociados en los datos disponibles, por lo que no hay hechos recientes que detallen su situación actual. En La Ponina se han puesto 4470 puntos, repartidos con un 60% para el SÍ y un 40% para el NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:33 PM.
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» is set free, even conditionally or by leaving the country, confirmed by his family, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders or AP. NO if that date arrives and he is still in prison. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will Maykel Osorbo get out of prison before June 2027?
How it resolves
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» is set free, even conditionally or by leaving the country, confirmed by his family, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders or AP. NO if that date arrives and he is still in prison.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Cubalex y Prisoners Defenders; confirmation: Associated Press / CiberCubaBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 60% of the points are on YES and 40% on NO.
How many people have put points?
42 people have put 4,490 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 39 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on May 31, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if before June 1, 2027 (Cuba time) Maykel Castillo «Osorbo» is set free, even conditionally or by leaving the country, confirmed by his family, Cubalex, Prisoners Defenders or AP. NO if that date arrives and he is still in prison. Closes May 31, 11:59 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.