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Does Rubio confirm the secret NY meeting before Nov. 30?
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Does Rubio confirm the secret NY meeting before Nov. 30?

Your prediction No

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The story

Martí Noticias revealed on November 5 that a delegation of the Cuban regime, led by Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío, met U.S. officials in New York on September 24, during the UN General Assembly.

That same day Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez told The Associated Press no meetings were planned, and in another interview refused to give details: «I've told you I'm not going to go into details». The State Department has only said that «the conversations are ongoing» and accuses the regime of accepting «nothing» that helps the Cuban people. Marco Rubio, who demands the release of political prisoners and an opening, has not yet publicly confirmed the New York meeting.

Sources Martí Noticias (Mario J. Pentón)ADN CubaPeriódico Cubano

YES if, between November 9, 2026 and 12:00 a.m. on November 30, 2026 (Miami time), Marco Rubio himself (statement, interview, appearance or a post on his official accounts) confirms that U.S. officials met in person with Cuban government representatives in New York on September 24, 2026, or at another in-person meeting since September 1, 2026, per a recording, official transcript or an outlet quoting him (AP, Reuters, Martí Noticias, El Nuevo Herald). NO if he does not confirm it himself in that period; spokespeople, other officials or anonymous sources do not count, nor does talk only of «conversations», «contacts» or «channels».

540 points 17 bettors (Cuba time)

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63% Yes 37% No

Chart

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1D1W1MAll
94% · Nov 9, 2:43 AM 95% · Nov 9, 2:44 AM 96% · Nov 9, 2:45 AM 96% · Nov 9, 2:46 AM 87% · Nov 9, 2:48 AM 87% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 81% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 74% · Nov 9, 2:54 AM 76% · Nov 9, 2:57 AM 74% · Nov 9, 3:00 AM 74% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 75% · Nov 9, 3:04 AM 71% · Nov 9, 3:08 AM 71% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM 74% · Nov 9, 3:12 AM 67% · Nov 9, 3:13 AM 65% · Nov 9, 3:15 AM 65% · Nov 9, 3:21 AM 63% · Nov 9, 3:24 AM

YES 63%

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  1. Rubio sitúa las elecciones en Venezuela "idealmente" en 2027 Per 14ymedio Save

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How the pot stands

YES 63% 37% NO
Pays x1.58 Pays x2.70
340 points200 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta sigue si Marco Rubio confirma en persona, antes del 30 de noviembre de 2026, una reunión en Nueva York entre funcionarios estadounidenses y representantes del gobierno cubano. Los titulares disponibles solo recogen declaraciones de Rubio sobre las elecciones en Venezuela, sin referencia a ese encuentro. En La Ponina, la predicción se inclina hacia el SÍ con 71%, frente al 29% del NO, sobre un total de 420 puntos.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 3:11 AM.

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LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. Chichiribiri put 20 points on NO 1 min ago
  2. YaimaNails put 10 points on NO 8 min ago
  3. mijoBici put 50 points on NO 10 min ago
  4. CerroBaila_39 put 40 points on YES 11 min ago
  5. conga_loshoyos put 20 points on NO 15 min ago
  6. RUMBACENTRO put 10 points on YES 19 min ago
  7. CasinoMarianao put 10 points on NO 23 min ago
  8. daylinnn put 30 points on YES 26 min ago
  9. carretadebueyes put 30 points on NO 29 min ago
  10. CasinoMarianao put 20 points on NO 32 min ago
  11. changuisero put 30 points on NO 35 min ago
  12. Tampa_Bro2 put 50 points on YES 37 min ago
  13. avispero_7 put 30 points on YES 38 min ago
  14. Yane_Flow put 30 points on YES 39 min ago
  15. ProfeTiza60 put 10 points on NO 40 min ago
  16. MANI_CALIENTE put 50 points on YES 41 min ago
  17. TaxiStats2 put 20 points on YES 42 min ago
  18. anita_cujae put 40 points on YES 43 min ago
  19. avispero_7 put 40 points on YES 44 min ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

 YES if, between November 9, 2026 and 12:00 a.m. on November 30, 2026 (Miami time), Marco Rubio himself (statement, interview, appearance or a post on his official accounts) confirms that U.S. officials met in person with Cuban government representatives in New York on September 24, 2026, or at another in-person meeting since September 1, 2026, per a recording, official transcript or an outlet quoting him (AP, Reuters, Martí Noticias, El Nuevo Herald). NO if he does not confirm it himself in that period; spokespeople, other officials or anonymous sources do not count, nor does talk only of «conversations», «contacts» or «channels». Closes Nov 29, 6:00 PM.
Question
Does Rubio confirm the secret NY meeting before Nov. 30?
How it resolves
YES if, between November 9, 2026 and 12:00 a.m. on November 30, 2026 (Miami time), Marco Rubio himself (statement, interview, appearance or a post on his official accounts) confirms that U.S. officials met in person with Cuban government representatives in New York on September 24, 2026, or at another in-person meeting since September 1, 2026, per a recording, official transcript or an outlet quoting him (AP, Reuters, Martí Noticias, El Nuevo Herald). NO if he does not confirm it himself in that period; spokespeople, other officials or anonymous sources do not count, nor does talk only of «conversations», «contacts» or «channels».The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Departamento de Estado, transcripciones del secretario (https://www.state.gov/remarks-and-releases-office-of-the-spokesperson/); confirmation: Martí Noticias (https://www.martinoticias.com/)Both sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Nov 29, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 63% of the points are on YES and 37% on NO.

How many people have put points?

17 people have put 540 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 3 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Nov 29, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if, between November 9, 2026 and 12:00 a.m. on November 30, 2026 (Miami time), Marco Rubio himself (statement, interview, appearance or a post on his official accounts) confirms that U.S. officials met in person with Cuban government representatives in New York on September 24, 2026, or at another in-person meeting since September 1, 2026, per a recording, official transcript or an outlet quoting him (AP, Reuters, Martí Noticias, El Nuevo Herald). NO if he does not confirm it himself in that period; spokespeople, other officials or anonymous sources do not count, nor does talk only of «conversations», «contacts» or «channels». Closes Nov 29, 6:00 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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