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Does Rubio meet Machado before December 31?
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Does Rubio meet Machado before December 31?

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The story

María Corina Machado returned to Venezuela on October 25 after almost a year in exile, and Marco Rubio credited her return to the talks Washington backs.

A day later, per Axios, Rubio warned: «You're not going to street-protest your way into a democracy». On November 5 Machado accepted the State Department roadmap, renewing the Supreme Court and the electoral council before elections, as «a reasonable path toward the full recovery of constitutional order». The last time they met face to face was March 31 in Washington, a meeting she called «excellent»; now she is inside the country and no new meeting has been set.

Sources InfobaeAxiosMoncloa.comMetro Puerto Rico

YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) Marco Rubio and María Corina Machado meet face to face, in any country, per the State Department, Machado or top-tier press (AP, Reuters, EFE, NYT). A call or video conference does not count. NO if there is no in-person meeting in that period.

640 points 17 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 51 d 14 h

Say yours: why YES or why NO?

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@titiiii_Picked YES

q te digo bro yo estoy con el si xq eso ya ta cantao, cuando washington se mueve en serio la cosa no se queda en llamadita 😂🔥 52 a 48 ta apretao pero yo le puse tranquilo 💯

0
@JL1987Picked NO

Oye, yo le puse al no porque esos encuentros se anuncian cuando ya están hechos, y de aquí a diciembre puede pasar cualquier cosa. Fíjate que hasta ahora nadie ha confirmado nada cara a cara.

0
@joe2ciudadesPicked YES

ese encuentro yo lo veo mas temprano q tarde mi gente, con la que se esta armando alla y aca esos dos terminan sentandose antes de fin de año, le puse al si desde el principio 💯

0
?
52% Yes 48% No

Chart

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74% · Nov 9, 2:38 AM 64% · Nov 9, 2:38 AM 61% · Nov 9, 2:39 AM 61% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 68% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 61% · Nov 9, 2:43 AM 64% · Nov 9, 2:46 AM 57% · Nov 9, 2:46 AM 57% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 50% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 51% · Nov 9, 2:55 AM 52% · Nov 9, 2:59 AM 57% · Nov 9, 3:00 AM 57% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 55% · Nov 9, 3:03 AM 52% · Nov 9, 3:06 AM 48% · Nov 9, 3:08 AM 48% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM 52% · Nov 9, 3:23 AM

YES 52%

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How the pot stands

YES 52% 48% NO
Pays x1.93 Pays x2.06
330 points310 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si Marco Rubio y María Corina Machado sostendrán un encuentro presencial antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026, con la condición de que ocurra entre el 9 de noviembre y el 30 de diciembre de ese año y sea confirmado por fuentes oficiales o prensa de primer nivel. No se registran titulares disponibles que aporten datos sobre contactos previos entre ambos. En La Ponina la predicción está muy reñida: el SÍ concentra el 51% de los 430 puntos, mientras el NO reúne el 49%.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 2:57 AM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. jefadelacuadra48 put 50 points on YES 8 min ago
  2. jonronazo68 put 50 points on NO 15 min ago
  3. 0x6153e1a put 30 points on NO 17 min ago
  4. JL1987 put 20 points on NO 20 min ago
  5. joe2ciudades put 50 points on YES 23 min ago
  6. mijoBici put 10 points on YES 24 min ago
  7. Tampa_Bro2 put 10 points on YES 28 min ago
  8. avispero_7 put 50 points on NO 31 min ago
  9. Chichiribiri put 40 points on NO 37 min ago
  10. RUMBACENTRO put 20 points on YES 37 min ago
  11. carretadebueyes put 30 points on NO 40 min ago
  12. titiiii_ put 50 points on YES 42 min ago
  13. YANISTYLE92 put 10 points on NO 44 min ago
  14. CasinoMarianao put 30 points on NO 44 min ago
  15. Rosario_Luz72 put 50 points on NO 45 min ago
  16. TaxiStats2 put 30 points on YES 45 min ago
  17. TaxiStats2 put 50 points on YES 46 min ago
  18. mijoBici put 20 points on YES 47 min ago
  19. Mami_Yaque_Tampa put 40 points on YES 49 min ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) Marco Rubio and María Corina Machado meet face to face, in any country, per the State Department, Machado or top-tier press (AP, Reuters, EFE, NYT). A call or video conference does not count. NO if there is no in-person meeting in that period. Closes Dec 30, 6:00 PM.
Question
Does Rubio meet Machado before December 31?
How it resolves
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) Marco Rubio and María Corina Machado meet face to face, in any country, per the State Department, Machado or top-tier press (AP, Reuters, EFE, NYT). A call or video conference does not count. NO if there is no in-person meeting in that period.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Departamento de Estado de EE. UU., comunicados y agenda del secretario (https://www.state.gov/); confirmation: Redes oficiales de María Corina Machado y AP / Reuters / EFEBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Dec 30, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 52% of the points are on YES and 48% on NO.

How many people have put points?

17 people have put 640 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 3 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Dec 30, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) Marco Rubio and María Corina Machado meet face to face, in any country, per the State Department, Machado or top-tier press (AP, Reuters, EFE, NYT). A call or video conference does not count. NO if there is no in-person meeting in that period. Closes Dec 30, 6:00 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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