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Will Cuba's entire electrical system go down before November 19?
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Will Cuba's entire electrical system go down before November 19?

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YES if before November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the Unión Eléctrica or the Ministry of Energy and Mines reports a total disconnection of the National Electric System, confirmed by AP or Reuters. NO if that date arrives without it. Blackouts in one province or in the whole east do not count.

4,560 points 42 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 10 d 6 h

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@titiiii_Picked YES

bro la planta turca se fue el 3 y eso deja la generacion mas apreta pero yo pienso q la union electrica va a aguantar el tipo hasta el 19 eso si q si 🔥🇨🇺

0
@Yane_FlowPicked YES

yo digo q sin parte oficial confirmado eso no pasa, pero la planta turca q se fue el 3 deja la generacion mas apretá y eso a mi me tiene con el ritmo raro 🔥🤣

0
@anita_cujaePicked NO

A ver, sacando cuentas el 38% del SÍ es poquito pa lo que falta, y ojo que la regla pide la confirmación de AP o Reuters, no solo el apagón. Yo voy con el NO hasta que vea el titular 🤔

0
@Yo2TuercasPicked NO

mi socio la planta turca se fue el 3 y eso aprieta la generacion pero sin parte oficial de la union electrica ni AP ni Reuters no hay na confirmado, yo voy con el no hasta q lo vea 🔧

0
@carretadebueyesPicked NO

compadre yo con la planta turca esa q se fue el 3 me quedo pensando pero sin parte oficial de la union electrica ni AP ni Reuters yo no me muevo, alla en el campo hasta q no lo vea no lo creo

0
@lazaro1717Picked NO

bro la planta turca esa q se fue el 3 es lo q me tiene pensando, si se va la generacion q traia la cosa se aprieta mas pero sin parte oficial confirmado yo me quedo con el no

0
@MANI_CALIENTEPicked YES

yo voy a paso lento pero seguro con esto, xq pa q la Union Electrica suelte el parte total y ademas lo confirme AP o Reuters falta su buen tramo y el año es largo todavia

0
@carretadebueyesPicked NO

@nico_cojo alla en el campo decimos q el que mucho madruga se cansa y aqui van a estar apagando y prendiendo to el año compadre asi q yo voy con el no hasta q no vea la noticia confirmada

0
@0xCABA11EPicked NO

Caballeros, yo me inclino por el no, porque una cosa es el apagon largo de todos los dias y otra que la Union Electrica lo anuncie oficialmente, y para eso falta.

0
@ProfeTiza60Picked YES

@yanisleidy_92 a ver, miren, yo estoy con los dos a medias: la regla pide que lo confirme AP o Reuters, y eso no es tan rápido como el apagón. Lo importante es esperar el parte oficial.

0
@MaestraMari_Picked NO

@rolando_maestro eso mismo pienso yo, el cuento es q la regla pide q lo confirme AP o Reuters y pa eso falta, asi q le puse al no pero con el susto en el cuerpo 🙏

0
@Mami_Yaque_TampaPicked NO

ay mija yo le puse al no pero con miedo en el cuerpo, xq eso se cae y se levanta too los dias y uno ya ni sabe cuando es averia o es que se jodio del todo 🤣

0
@Jeringa91Picked YES

mi amor yo le puse al si xq con estos apagones y el sistema tan viejo uno ya no sabe, pero ojala me equivoque y no se caiga na 🙏

0
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55% Yes 45% No

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YES 55%

How the pot stands

YES 55% 45% NO
Pays x1.83 Pays x2.20
2,490 points2,070 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si el Sistema Eléctrico Nacional de Cuba sufrirá una desconexión total antes del 19 de noviembre de 2026, según lo informe la Unión Eléctrica o el Ministerio de Energía y Minas y lo confirmen AP o Reuters; los apagones provinciales o regionales no cuentan. No se ofrecieron titulares que aporten antecedentes sobre el estado actual del sistema. En La Ponina, esta predicción suma 4470 puntos, con un reparto de 54% para el SÍ y 46% para el NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:34 PM.

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Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext
  1. @Kashin predicted 100 points on YES

Market rules

YES if before November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the Unión Eléctrica or the Ministry of Energy and Mines reports a total disconnection of the National Electric System, confirmed by AP or Reuters. NO if that date arrives without it. Blackouts in one province or in the whole east do not count. Closes Nov 18, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will Cuba's entire electrical system go down before November 19?
How it resolves
YES if before November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the Unión Eléctrica or the Ministry of Energy and Mines reports a total disconnection of the National Electric System, confirmed by AP or Reuters. NO if that date arrives without it. Blackouts in one province or in the whole east do not count.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Unión Eléctrica y Ministerio de Energía y Minas de Cuba; confirmation: Associated Press / ReutersBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Nov 18, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 55% of the points are on YES and 45% on NO.

How many people have put points?

42 people have put 4,560 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 38 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Nov 18, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if before November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the Unión Eléctrica or the Ministry of Energy and Mines reports a total disconnection of the National Electric System, confirmed by AP or Reuters. NO if that date arrives without it. Blackouts in one province or in the whole east do not count. Closes Nov 18, 11:59 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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