YES if before November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the Unión Eléctrica or the Ministry of Energy and Mines reports a total disconnection of the National Electric System, confirmed by AP or Reuters. NO if that date arrives without it. Blackouts in one province or in the whole east do not count.
83% · Nov 6, 1:43 AM86% · Nov 6, 1:48 AM88% · Nov 6, 1:48 AM75% · Nov 6, 1:54 AM77% · Nov 6, 2:23 AM82% · Nov 6, 2:39 AM84% · Nov 6, 3:37 AM75% · Nov 6, 3:59 AM71% · Nov 6, 4:45 AM69% · Nov 6, 4:45 AM72% · Nov 6, 4:46 AM67% · Nov 6, 4:46 AM68% · Nov 6, 5:06 AM64% · Nov 6, 5:15 AM67% · Nov 6, 5:18 AM62% · Nov 6, 6:22 AM65% · Nov 6, 6:42 AM66% · Nov 6, 6:52 AM64% · Nov 6, 7:05 AM65% · Nov 6, 7:27 AM67% · Nov 6, 7:27 AM68% · Nov 6, 8:06 AM70% · Nov 6, 9:02 AM67% · Nov 6, 9:02 AM67% · Nov 6, 9:28 AM69% · Nov 6, 9:34 AM66% · Nov 6, 9:34 AM63% · Nov 6, 9:34 AM64% · Nov 6, 9:35 AM65% · Nov 6, 9:35 AM65% · Nov 6, 11:49 AM62% · Nov 6, 12:04 PM62% · Nov 6, 12:13 PM60% · Nov 6, 1:06 PM60% · Nov 6, 1:25 PM58% · Nov 6, 1:48 PM56% · Nov 6, 4:21 PM55% · Nov 6, 4:26 PM54% · Nov 6, 4:37 PM55% · Nov 6, 4:37 PM54% · Nov 6, 4:37 PM55% · Nov 6, 4:38 PM56% · Nov 6, 5:09 PM54% · Nov 6, 5:18 PM55% · Nov 6, 6:12 PM57% · Nov 6, 6:56 PM58% · Nov 6, 6:56 PM57% · Nov 6, 6:57 PM56% · Nov 6, 6:57 PM56% · Nov 6, 7:06 PM56% · Nov 6, 7:41 PM56% · Nov 6, 7:41 PM57% · Nov 6, 7:41 PM57% · Nov 6, 7:42 PM58% · Nov 6, 9:42 PM59% · Nov 6, 9:48 PM59% · Nov 6, 9:55 PM59% · Nov 6, 9:55 PM59% · Nov 6, 9:55 PM60% · Nov 6, 9:55 PM61% · Nov 6, 9:57 PM61% · Nov 6, 9:59 PM61% · Nov 6, 11:05 PM61% · Nov 6, 11:33 PM59% · Nov 6, 11:33 PM57% · Nov 7, 12:38 AM58% · Nov 7, 12:50 AM57% · Nov 7, 12:51 AM57% · Nov 7, 12:51 AM58% · Nov 7, 1:01 AM58% · Nov 7, 1:01 AM58% · Nov 7, 1:45 AM58% · Nov 7, 2:09 AM57% · Nov 7, 2:15 AM57% · Nov 7, 2:42 AM58% · Nov 7, 3:02 AM58% · Nov 7, 3:21 AM57% · Nov 7, 3:21 AM57% · Nov 7, 3:43 AM56% · Nov 7, 3:43 AM57% · Nov 7, 3:44 AM57% · Nov 7, 5:21 AM56% · Nov 7, 5:46 AM57% · Nov 7, 5:52 AM57% · Nov 7, 5:55 AM57% · Nov 7, 7:45 AM56% · Nov 7, 8:32 AM55% · Nov 7, 8:43 AM55% · Nov 7, 8:52 AM55% · Nov 7, 8:52 AM56% · Nov 7, 9:24 AM55% · Nov 7, 11:01 AM56% · Nov 7, 11:02 AM56% · Nov 7, 11:13 AM56% · Nov 7, 12:35 PM56% · Nov 7, 1:19 PM56% · Nov 7, 1:38 PM57% · Nov 7, 1:54 PM57% · Nov 7, 2:49 PM57% · Nov 7, 3:41 PM57% · Nov 7, 3:41 PM58% · Nov 7, 3:41 PM58% · Nov 7, 3:53 PM58% · Nov 7, 3:53 PM58% · Nov 7, 3:53 PM58% · Nov 7, 3:54 PM57% · Nov 7, 4:36 PM58% · Nov 7, 4:37 PM57% · Nov 7, 4:37 PM58% · Nov 7, 4:37 PM57% · Nov 7, 5:01 PM57% · Nov 7, 5:34 PM57% · Nov 7, 5:39 PM56% · Nov 7, 6:23 PM56% · Nov 7, 6:29 PM55% · Nov 7, 7:23 PM56% · Nov 7, 7:24 PM56% · Nov 7, 7:24 PM56% · Nov 7, 8:25 PM56% · Nov 7, 9:10 PM56% · Nov 7, 11:18 PM56% · Nov 7, 11:32 PM56% · Nov 7, 11:34 PM56% · Nov 7, 11:34 PM55% · Nov 7, 11:34 PM55% · Nov 7, 11:48 PM55% · Nov 8, 12:36 AM55% · Nov 8, 1:15 AM55% · Nov 8, 1:15 AM55% · Nov 8, 2:30 AM55% · Nov 8, 2:34 AM56% · Nov 8, 2:34 AM56% · Nov 8, 3:07 AM55% · Nov 8, 4:31 AM55% · Nov 8, 4:31 AM55% · Nov 8, 4:31 AM56% · Nov 8, 5:07 AM55% · Nov 8, 5:17 AM55% · Nov 8, 5:18 AM55% · Nov 8, 5:52 AM55% · Nov 8, 5:52 AM55% · Nov 8, 6:00 AM55% · Nov 8, 6:33 AM55% · Nov 8, 6:49 AM56% · Nov 8, 7:44 AM56% · Nov 8, 7:59 AM56% · Nov 8, 8:06 AM55% · Nov 8, 8:24 AM56% · Nov 8, 8:30 AM56% · Nov 8, 12:22 PM55% · Nov 8, 12:25 PM55% · Nov 8, 1:43 PM54% · Nov 8, 2:30 PM54% · Nov 8, 4:01 PM54% · Nov 8, 4:12 PM
Nov 6Nov 6Nov 7Nov 8
YES 54%
How the pot stands
Be the first
YES54%46%NO
Pays x1.83Pays x2.19
2,430 points2,040 points
Pot %
It's how much money is on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their money. More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si el Sistema Eléctrico Nacional de Cuba sufrirá una desconexión total antes del 19 de noviembre de 2026, según lo informe la Unión Eléctrica o el Ministerio de Energía y Minas y lo confirmen AP o Reuters; los apagones provinciales o regionales no cuentan. No se ofrecieron titulares que aporten antecedentes sobre el estado actual del sistema. En La Ponina, esta predicción suma 4470 puntos, con un reparto de 54% para el SÍ y 46% para el NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 8, 2:34 PM.
YES if before November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the Unión Eléctrica or the Ministry of Energy and Mines reports a total disconnection of the National Electric System, confirmed by AP or Reuters. NO if that date arrives without it. Blackouts in one province or in the whole east do not count. Closes Nov 18, 11:59 PM.
Question
Will Cuba's entire electrical system go down before November 19?
How it resolves
YES if before November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the Unión Eléctrica or the Ministry of Energy and Mines reports a total disconnection of the National Electric System, confirmed by AP or Reuters. NO if that date arrives without it. Blackouts in one province or in the whole east do not count.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Unión Eléctrica y Ministerio de Energía y Minas de Cuba; confirmation: Associated Press / ReutersBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Nov 18, 11:59 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, all money is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 54% of the points are on YES and 46% on NO.
How many people have put points?
42 people have put 4,470 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 38 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on Nov 18, 11:59 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if before November 19, 2026 (Cuba time) the Unión Eléctrica or the Ministry of Energy and Mines reports a total disconnection of the National Electric System, confirmed by AP or Reuters. NO if that date arrives without it. Blackouts in one province or in the whole east do not count. Closes Nov 18, 11:59 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.
