yo le puse al si y con estos vuelos raros uno nunca sabe mi amor, si ya los están mandando pa cualquier parte lo de áfrica no me extraña nada 😅
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Does Trump send more Cubans to Africa before Christmas?
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The story
Donald Trump admitted on 60 Minutes, in his first interview after losing Congress, that his deportation policy was «maybe too harsh».
But Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin wrote the day after the election that «deportations will continue», and Stephen Miller has just become White House chief of staff. CiberCuba reports more than 42,000 Cubans have deportation orders, and Telemundo 51 reported that about 80 deportees, most of them Cuban, reached Bangui in the Central African Republic on October 24, three months after a first flight. The question is whether another plane with Cubans leaves for Africa before Christmas.
Sources CiberCubaTelemundo 51CBS 60 Minutes (vía EFE)
YES if, between November 9 and December 24, 2026 (Miami time), a US government (ICE/DHS) deportation flight with at least one Cuban national on board lands in any African country, per DHS/ICE or at least one reference outlet (Telemundo 51, Univision, Martí Noticias, CiberCuba, Diario de Cuba or EFE) with testimony or official confirmation. Third-country removals to Africa count; flights to Cuba do not. NO if no such flight lands in that period.
Closes in 44 d 13 h
Say yours: why YES or why NO?
Comments 2
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ese hombre ta que no sabe ni donde meterse con los q manda pa alla, yo le puse al si desde el principio mira eso, si sigue apretando le va a salir vuelo pa africa antes de q termine el año 😎
Chart
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83% · Nov 9, 3:22 AM 71% · Nov 9, 3:23 AM 42% · Nov 9, 3:24 AM 33% · Nov 9, 3:25 AM 41% · Nov 9, 3:27 AM 52% · Nov 9, 3:28 AM 42% · Nov 9, 3:30 AM 42% · Nov 9, 3:31 AM 46% · Nov 9, 3:31 AM 39% · Nov 9, 3:35 AM 38% · Nov 9, 3:38 AM 38% · Nov 9, 3:41 AM 33% · Nov 9, 3:41 AM 32% · Nov 9, 3:45 AM 31% · Nov 9, 3:49 AM 31% · Nov 9, 3:51 AM 30% · Nov 9, 3:54 AM 30% · Nov 9, 3:58 AM 31% · Nov 9, 4:00 AM 31% · Nov 9, 4:01 AM 37% · Nov 9, 4:01 AM 37% · Nov 9, 4:03 AM
YES 37%
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America took a giant step back in History with the results of the last Election — Even the Stock Market, which has been a “ROCKETSHIP” under “TRUMP,” took a one day, 3 Trillion Dollar loss. But have no fear, we will be back, BIGGER AND STRONGER THAN EVER BEFORE! President DONALD
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What people are saying
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How the pot stands
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YES 37% 63% NO
Pays x2.72 Pays x1.58
180 points310 points
It's how many points are on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their points.
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Context
La pregunta plantea si, entre el 9 de noviembre y el 24 de diciembre de 2026, aterrizará en algún país de África un vuelo de deportación del Gobierno de Estados Unidos con al menos un cubano a bordo, según confirmación oficial o de un medio de referencia. No se han dado titulares que aporten hechos sobre el tema. En La Ponina, la pregunta reparte 260 puntos, con 42% inclinado por el SÍ y 58% por el NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 3:31 AM.
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Nobody has put 200 points or more yet.
Timeline
- Opened
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Related
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Market rules
YES if, between November 9 and December 24, 2026 (Miami time), a US government (ICE/DHS) deportation flight with at least one Cuban national on board lands in any African country, per DHS/ICE or at least one reference outlet (Telemundo 51, Univision, Martí Noticias, CiberCuba, Diario de Cuba or EFE) with testimony or official confirmation. Third-country removals to Africa count; flights to Cuba do not. NO if no such flight lands in that period. Closes Dec 23, 6:00 PM.
- Question
- Does Trump send more Cubans to Africa before Christmas?
- How it resolves
- YES if, between November 9 and December 24, 2026 (Miami time), a US government (ICE/DHS) deportation flight with at least one Cuban national on board lands in any African country, per DHS/ICE or at least one reference outlet (Telemundo 51, Univision, Martí Noticias, CiberCuba, Diario de Cuba or EFE) with testimony or official confirmation. Third-country removals to Africa count; flights to Cuba do not. NO if no such flight lands in that period.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
- Sources
- DHS/ICE y Telemundo 51, cobertura de deportaciones de cubanos a África (https://www.telemundo51.com/noticias/local/es-como-si-estuvieramos-muertas-cubanas-deportadas-a-africa-denuncian-maltratos-y-condiciones-precarias/2841161/); confirmation: CiberCuba, Martí Noticias y Diario de Cuba, cobertura de vuelos de deportación (https://www.cibercuba.com/noticias/2026-11-09-u1-e208512-s27061-nid345283-trump-admite-politica-deportaciones-fue-demasiado)Both sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
- Close
- Dec 23, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
- Options
- YES / NO
- If known early
- If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
- If postponed
- If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
- If canceled
- If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 37% of the points are on YES and 63% on NO.
How many people have put points?
16 people have put 490 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 2 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on Dec 23, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if, between November 9 and December 24, 2026 (Miami time), a US government (ICE/DHS) deportation flight with at least one Cuban national on board lands in any African country, per DHS/ICE or at least one reference outlet (Telemundo 51, Univision, Martí Noticias, CiberCuba, Diario de Cuba or EFE) with testimony or official confirmation. Third-country removals to Africa count; flights to Cuba do not. NO if no such flight lands in that period. Closes Dec 23, 6:00 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.