esos acuerdos de tropas siempre se enredan en la letra chiquita, mi hermano, mucho anuncio con foto y despues no firman na. yo le puse al no y duermo tranquilo 😎
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Does Delcy sign the US troop pact before December 31?
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The story
According to The New York Times, Marco Rubio's State Department, not the Pentagon, is negotiating with interim president Delcy Rodríguez's government an agreement on the status of US troops in Venezuela, a legal framework for its military in the country.
Rubio put it this way: «We would like at some point to have a presence agreement». A senior official said talk of military bases is «very, very far» off, and Venezuela's foreign ministry has not commented. The paper warns that many Venezuelans could see those troops as colonialism, after Trump spoke of the «conquest of Venezuela».
Sources The New York Times (vía Semana y El Pitazo)Escudo DigitalRunrun.es
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) the Delcy Rodríguez government and the US sign, or officially announce as signed, a written agreement on the presence or status of US troops in Venezuela (a SOFA or «presence agreement»), per the State Department, the Venezuelan government or top-tier press. NO if in that period there are only talks, drafts or statements without a signature.
Closes in 51 d 14 h
Say yours: why YES or why NO?
Comments 3
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Con 76% arriba el SÍ, mi vida, pero yo le puse temprano y sin miedo: si Delcy y Washington ya se sientan en la mesa, la firma sale antes del 31. Veamos los números y el tiempo lo dice.
brother yo le puse al NO xq esos pactos siempre se quedan en veremos, mucho anuncio y borrador pero la firma no llega 😂 le puse tranquilo esperando el 27
Chart
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73% · Nov 9, 2:36 AM 78% · Nov 9, 2:38 AM 82% · Nov 9, 2:39 AM 82% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 85% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM 86% · Nov 9, 2:42 AM 87% · Nov 9, 2:44 AM 79% · Nov 9, 2:45 AM 77% · Nov 9, 2:48 AM 77% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM 80% · Nov 9, 2:52 AM 82% · Nov 9, 2:55 AM 75% · Nov 9, 2:59 AM 75% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM 76% · Nov 9, 3:02 AM 72% · Nov 9, 3:05 AM 73% · Nov 9, 3:10 AM 73% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM 70% · Nov 9, 3:13 AM 66% · Nov 9, 3:14 AM 64% · Nov 9, 3:17 AM 59% · Nov 9, 3:18 AM 59% · Nov 9, 3:21 AM 60% · Nov 9, 3:36 AM
YES 60%
What people are saying1
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How the pot stands
Be the first
YES 60% 40% NO
Pays x1.66 Pays x2.50
420 points280 points
It's how many points are on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their points.
More in How it works
More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si el gobierno de Delcy Rodríguez y el de Estados Unidos firmarán o anunciarán oficialmente un acuerdo escrito sobre la presencia o el estatus de tropas estadounidenses en Venezuela antes del 30 de diciembre de 2026. El único titular disponible reporta que Delcy Rodríguez rindió homenaje a Estados Unidos y recordó los 191 años de relaciones diplomáticas entre ambos países. En La Ponina, la predicción se inclina hacia el SÍ con 440 puntos en total, repartidos en 82% para el SÍ y 18% para el NO.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 2:57 AM.
Was this helpful? Yes / No
LiveRight now
- Chevy57Rojo put 20 points on YES 4 min ago
- 65portal put 50 points on NO 17 min ago
- TaxiStats2 put 20 points on NO 18 min ago
- 0xcafe1950a put 40 points on NO 21 min ago
- Jeringa91 put 20 points on NO 22 min ago
- RUMBACENTRO put 20 points on YES 25 min ago
- MaestraMari_ put 30 points on NO 30 min ago
- 0x6153e1a put 20 points on YES 33 min ago
Nobody has put points here yet.
Timeline
- Opened
- ClosesNext
Related
Market rules
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) the Delcy Rodríguez government and the US sign, or officially announce as signed, a written agreement on the presence or status of US troops in Venezuela (a SOFA or «presence agreement»), per the State Department, the Venezuelan government or top-tier press. NO if in that period there are only talks, drafts or statements without a signature. Closes Dec 30, 6:00 PM.
- Question
- Does Delcy sign the US troop pact before December 31?
- How it resolves
- YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) the Delcy Rodríguez government and the US sign, or officially announce as signed, a written agreement on the presence or status of US troops in Venezuela (a SOFA or «presence agreement»), per the State Department, the Venezuelan government or top-tier press. NO if in that period there are only talks, drafts or statements without a signature.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
- Sources
- Departamento de Estado de EE. UU., comunicados (https://www.state.gov/); confirmation: Gobierno de Venezuela y AP / Reuters / The New York TimesBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
- Close
- Dec 30, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
- Options
- YES / NO
- If known early
- If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
- If postponed
- If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
- If canceled
- If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 60% of the points are on YES and 40% on NO.
How many people have put points?
19 people have put 700 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 3 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on Dec 30, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) the Delcy Rodríguez government and the US sign, or officially announce as signed, a written agreement on the presence or status of US troops in Venezuela (a SOFA or «presence agreement»), per the State Department, the Venezuelan government or top-tier press. NO if in that period there are only talks, drafts or statements without a signature. Closes Dec 30, 6:00 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.