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Does Delcy sign the US troop pact before December 31?
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Does Delcy sign the US troop pact before December 31?

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The story

According to The New York Times, Marco Rubio's State Department, not the Pentagon, is negotiating with interim president Delcy Rodríguez's government an agreement on the status of US troops in Venezuela, a legal framework for its military in the country.

Rubio put it this way: «We would like at some point to have a presence agreement». A senior official said talk of military bases is «very, very far» off, and Venezuela's foreign ministry has not commented. The paper warns that many Venezuelans could see those troops as colonialism, after Trump spoke of the «conquest of Venezuela».

Sources The New York Times (vía Semana y El Pitazo)Escudo DigitalRunrun.es

YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) the Delcy Rodríguez government and the US sign, or officially announce as signed, a written agreement on the presence or status of US troops in Venezuela (a SOFA or «presence agreement»), per the State Department, the Venezuelan government or top-tier press. NO if in that period there are only talks, drafts or statements without a signature.

680 points 18 bettors (Cuba time)

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Closes in 51 d 14 h

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?
59% Yes 41% No

Chart

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YES 59%

The latest on this

  1. Delcy Rodríguez rinde homenaje a EEUU y recuerda los 191 años de relaciones diplomáticas Per Telemundo 51 Save
Read here

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What people are saying1

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  1. News From Noticias Venevisión
    Presidenta (E) Delcy Rodríguez firma instrumento oficial de ratificación del Convenio de Seguridad Social
    Read here Open source
    Sign in to vote0 for · 0 against

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How the pot stands

YES 59% 41% NO
Pays x1.70 Pays x2.42
400 points280 points
Pot %

Context

La pregunta plantea si el gobierno de Delcy Rodríguez y el de Estados Unidos firmarán o anunciarán oficialmente un acuerdo escrito sobre la presencia o el estatus de tropas estadounidenses en Venezuela antes del 30 de diciembre de 2026. El único titular disponible reporta que Delcy Rodríguez rindió homenaje a Estados Unidos y recordó los 191 años de relaciones diplomáticas entre ambos países. En La Ponina, la predicción se inclina hacia el SÍ con 440 puntos en total, repartidos en 82% para el SÍ y 18% para el NO.

Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 2:57 AM.

Was this helpful? Yes / No

LiveRight now

Minimum All 502001,000
  1. 65portal put 50 points on NO 5 min ago
  2. TaxiStats2 put 20 points on NO 6 min ago
  3. 0xcafe1950a put 40 points on NO 9 min ago
  4. Jeringa91 put 20 points on NO 10 min ago
  5. RUMBACENTRO put 20 points on YES 13 min ago
  6. MaestraMari_ put 30 points on NO 18 min ago
  7. 0x6153e1a put 20 points on YES 21 min ago
  8. kike_rimas4 put 40 points on NO 24 min ago
  9. Yane_Flow put 50 points on YES 28 min ago
  10. titiiii_ put 50 points on YES 31 min ago
  11. Yayabo_Fina put 10 points on NO 35 min ago
  12. NovelaYCafe put 30 points on NO 38 min ago
  13. jefadelacuadra48 put 10 points on YES 39 min ago
  14. ProfeTiza60 put 20 points on YES 41 min ago
  15. JL1987 put 50 points on YES 42 min ago
  16. daylinnn put 40 points on YES 44 min ago
  17. PerlaDelSur_MD put 30 points on YES 45 min ago
  18. kike_rimas4 put 40 points on NO 47 min ago
  19. Yane_Flow put 40 points on YES 47 min ago
  20. PerlaDelSur_MD put 40 points on YES 48 min ago

Timeline

  1. Opened
  2. ClosesNext

Market rules

 YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) the Delcy Rodríguez government and the US sign, or officially announce as signed, a written agreement on the presence or status of US troops in Venezuela (a SOFA or «presence agreement»), per the State Department, the Venezuelan government or top-tier press. NO if in that period there are only talks, drafts or statements without a signature. Closes Dec 30, 6:00 PM.
Question
Does Delcy sign the US troop pact before December 31?
How it resolves
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) the Delcy Rodríguez government and the US sign, or officially announce as signed, a written agreement on the presence or status of US troops in Venezuela (a SOFA or «presence agreement»), per the State Department, the Venezuelan government or top-tier press. NO if in that period there are only talks, drafts or statements without a signature.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Departamento de Estado de EE. UU., comunicados (https://www.state.gov/); confirmation: Gobierno de Venezuela y AP / Reuters / The New York TimesBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Dec 30, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.

Questions about this ponina

What do people say right now?

Right now 59% of the points are on YES and 41% on NO.

How many people have put points?

18 people have put 680 points in total.

What are people saying in the chat?

There are 2 comments. The chat is further down this same page.

When does it close?

It closes on Dec 30, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.

How do I put points?

Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.

How is it decided?

YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) the Delcy Rodríguez government and the US sign, or officially announce as signed, a written agreement on the presence or status of US troops in Venezuela (a SOFA or «presence agreement»), per the State Department, the Venezuelan government or top-tier press. NO if in that period there are only talks, drafts or statements without a signature. Closes Dec 30, 6:00 PM.

Can I follow it without putting points?

Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.

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