María Corina Machado returned to Venezuela on October 25 after almost a year in exile, and Marco Rubio credited her return to the talks Washington backs.
A day later, per Axios, Rubio warned: «You're not going to street-protest your way into a democracy». On November 5 Machado accepted the State Department roadmap, renewing the Supreme Court and the electoral council before elections, as «a reasonable path toward the full recovery of constitutional order». The last time they met face to face was March 31 in Washington, a meeting she called «excellent»; now she is inside the country and no new meeting has been set.
SourcesInfobaeAxiosMoncloa.comMetro Puerto Rico
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) Marco Rubio and María Corina Machado meet face to face, in any country, per the State Department, Machado or top-tier press (AP, Reuters, EFE, NYT). A call or video conference does not count. NO if there is no in-person meeting in that period.
74% · Nov 9, 2:38 AM64% · Nov 9, 2:38 AM61% · Nov 9, 2:39 AM61% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM68% · Nov 9, 2:41 AM61% · Nov 9, 2:43 AM64% · Nov 9, 2:46 AM57% · Nov 9, 2:46 AM57% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM50% · Nov 9, 2:51 AM51% · Nov 9, 2:55 AM52% · Nov 9, 2:59 AM57% · Nov 9, 3:00 AM57% · Nov 9, 3:01 AM55% · Nov 9, 3:03 AM52% · Nov 9, 3:06 AM48% · Nov 9, 3:08 AM48% · Nov 9, 3:11 AM52% · Nov 9, 3:23 AM
It's how many points are on each option. Not an official probability — it's what people think with their points. More in How it works
Context
La pregunta plantea si Marco Rubio y María Corina Machado sostendrán un encuentro presencial antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026, con la condición de que ocurra entre el 9 de noviembre y el 30 de diciembre de ese año y sea confirmado por fuentes oficiales o prensa de primer nivel. No se registran titulares disponibles que aporten datos sobre contactos previos entre ambos. En La Ponina la predicción está muy reñida: el SÍ concentra el 51% de los 430 puntos, mientras el NO reúne el 49%.
Summary made by AI from the question, its rules, the points and the news; it does not decide the result. Updated Nov 9, 2:57 AM.
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) Marco Rubio and María Corina Machado meet face to face, in any country, per the State Department, Machado or top-tier press (AP, Reuters, EFE, NYT). A call or video conference does not count. NO if there is no in-person meeting in that period. Closes Dec 30, 6:00 PM.
Question
Does Rubio meet Machado before December 31?
How it resolves
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) Marco Rubio and María Corina Machado meet face to face, in any country, per the State Department, Machado or top-tier press (AP, Reuters, EFE, NYT). A call or video conference does not count. NO if there is no in-person meeting in that period.The first official result published by the primary source counts.
Sources
Departamento de Estado de EE. UU., comunicados y agenda del secretario (https://www.state.gov/); confirmation: Redes oficiales de María Corina Machado y AP / Reuters / EFEBoth sources must agree. While we confirm it you will see "Confirming".
Close
Dec 30, 6:00 PM (Cuba time).
Options
YES / NO
If known early
If the result becomes known before the close, the market goes to Confirming and closes. During Confirming we review what happened and anyone can send evidence.
If postponed
If the event is postponed, the market continues and closes before the new date. If it can no longer be confirmed, it is voided and everything is refunded.
If canceled
If the event is canceled, everything is refunded.
Questions about this ponina
What do people say right now?
Right now 52% of the points are on YES and 48% on NO.
How many people have put points?
17 people have put 640 points in total.
What are people saying in the chat?
There are 3 comments. The chat is further down this same page.
When does it close?
It closes on Dec 30, 6:00 PM (Cuba time). Until then you can put points.
How do I put points?
Pick an option and put your free points. If you are right, you take your share of the losing option's points.
How is it decided?
YES if between November 9 and December 30, 2026 (Miami time) Marco Rubio and María Corina Machado meet face to face, in any country, per the State Department, Machado or top-tier press (AP, Reuters, EFE, NYT). A call or video conference does not count. NO if there is no in-person meeting in that period. Closes Dec 30, 6:00 PM.
Can I follow it without putting points?
Yes. The percentage, the chart and the chat update on their own: check it whenever you like without putting anything.
